RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over VLRS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
VLRS
Controladora Vuela Compañía de Aviación, S.A.B. de C.V.
VLRS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
VLRS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
VLRS's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VLRS PE Valuation
VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over VLRS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
VLRS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect VLRS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over VLRS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
VLRS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.91 | -$1.37 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.63 | -$1.36 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.07 | -397% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.89 | -182% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.54 | -133% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.27 | -127% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.36 | -63% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.09 | +1457% |
VLRS lost $1.91 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over VLRS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
VLRS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $859M | +24% |
| Q1 2026 | $770M | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $881.5M | +5.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $784M | -3.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $693M | -4.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $678M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $834.9M | -7.1% |
VLRS's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $1B last quarter, up 32% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.3% | -5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -12% | -8.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -2.7% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 8.7% | -6.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3.2% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | -15 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | -8.3 points |
VLRS has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
VLRS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $234M | +178% |
| Q2 2026 | $137.2M | +79% |
| Q1 2026 | $176.3M | +183% |
| Q4 2025 | $165.3M | -46% |
| Q3 2025 | $84.2M | -64% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.6M | -75% |
| Q1 2025 | $62.2M | -75% |
| Q4 2024 | $308M | +41% |
VLRS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
VLRS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +33.1K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -1.3M shares |
| 3 years | -1.4% | -1.6M shares |
| 5 years | -1.4% | -1.6M shares |
VLRS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
VLRS hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
VLRS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.1x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 4.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.9x | Elevated |
VLRS's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
VLRS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 61.6 | Neutral |
VLRS's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
VLRS PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | VLRS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
VLRS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
VLRS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $6.70 | 21% above |
| 20 week MA | $7.19 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $7.84 | 3.6% above |
| 100 week MA | $6.95 | 17% above |
| 200 week MA | $7.92 | 2.5% above |
VLRS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over VLRS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
VLRS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.5 | $11.0 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $11.0 | $17.7 | +60% |
| 2022 | $17.7 | $8.53 | -52% |
| 2023 | $8.53 | $9.38 | +10% |
| 2024 | $9.38 | $7.63 | -19% |
| 2025 | $7.63 | $9.22 | +21% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.22 | $8.12 | -12% |
VLRS has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 12% so far in 2026.