RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
TTC
The Toro Company
TTC has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TTC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
TTC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TTC PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 21x | $107 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $82.04 | -23% |
| Fair | 26x | $98.24 | -8.1% |
| Current | 29x | $107 | — |
| Expensive | 31x | $117 | +9.1% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TTC's PE is in its fair range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 21x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TTC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TTC, with profitability improving.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
TTC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.05 | +35% |
| Q3 2026 | $3.74 | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.47 | -11% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.34 | -15% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.17 | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.30 | -13% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.90 | +54% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.91 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.01 | +28% |
TTC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over TTC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TTC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +8.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +4.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | -0.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | -2.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $995M | -0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B | +9.4% |
TTC's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.2B last quarter, up 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.4% | +3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +0.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.4% | +0.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8.7% | -1.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.7% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.8% | -1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 10% | +0.5 points |
TTC has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
TTC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $159.6M | -23% |
| Q2 2026 | $250.9M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.6M | +$82.3M |
| Q4 2025 | $286.4M | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $207.2M | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $152.4M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | -$67.7M | +$43.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $200.2M | +85% |
TTC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TTC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.5% | -1.5M shares |
| 1 year | -3.4% | -3.4M shares |
| 3 years | -8.3% | -8.7M shares |
| 5 years | -12% | -12.8M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -12.5M shares |
TTC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $73M |
| Q2 2026 | $190.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $94.9M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $90M |
| Q2 2025 | $100M |
| Q1 2025 | $100M |
| Q4 2024 | $136.3M |
TTC spent $358M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 16% from the year before.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TTC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.1x | Healthy |
TTC's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.5 years a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TTC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 63.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 81.6 | Overbought |
TTC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TTC PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TTC | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 24x | 19% above |
| PE % | 65 | 58 | 7 pts above |
TTC is trading at 29x earnings, a 19% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
TTC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $102.1 | 4.6% above |
| 20 week MA | $98.2 | 8.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $93.8 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $84.4 | 27% above |
| 200 week MA | $89.0 | 20% above |
TTC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
TTC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $80.2 | $93.9 | +17% |
| 2021 | $93.9 | $99.3 | +5.8% |
| 2022 | $99.3 | $113.0 | +14% |
| 2023 | $113.0 | $96.0 | -15% |
| 2024 | $96.0 | $81.0 | -16% |
| 2025 | $81.0 | $79.4 | -2% |
| 2026 YTD | $79.4 | $106.9 | +35% |
TTC has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.