RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over TRNS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TRNS

Transcat, Inc.

46
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation6/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

TRNS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TRNS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Stable

TRNS's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRNS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x135x203x271x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE68x135x203x271x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap38x$17.80-83%
Forward47x$106—
Fair54x$25.31-76%
Expensive83x$39.15-63%
Current226x$106—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TRNS's PE is in its expensive range at 226x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 47x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TRNS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TRNS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TRNS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TRNS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$140.02
Downside-26%$79.13

Calculated from the latest close: $106.33 on Nov 12.

TRNS trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

TRNS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.30Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.73Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.23Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.47Forward: $2.27
Q4 2023: $1.30Q1 2024: $1.63Q2 2024: $1.73Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.89Q1 2025: $1.57Q2 2025: $1.44Q3 2025: $1.23Q4 2025: $0.86Q1 2026: $0.57Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.47Forward: $2.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.27+383%
Q3 2026$0.47-62%
Q2 2026$0.36-75%
Q1 2026$0.57-64%
Q4 2025$0.86-54%
Q3 2025$1.23-39%
Q2 2025$1.44-17%
Q1 2025$1.57-3.7%
Q4 2024$1.89+45%

TRNS has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

TRNS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $97M
Q4 2023: $65MQ1 2024: $71MQ2 2024: $67MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $67MQ1 2025: $77MQ2 2025: $76MQ3 2025: $82MQ4 2025: $84MQ1 2026: $89MQ2 2026: $93MQ3 2026: $97M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$97.1M+18%
Q2 2026$92.9M+22%
Q1 2026$89.3M+16%
Q4 2025$83.9M+26%
Q3 2025$82.3M+21%
Q2 2025$76.4M+15%
Q1 2025$77.1M+8.8%
Q4 2024$66.8M+2.4%

TRNS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $97M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

TRNS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: −$975,000Q3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $6M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $3MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $8MQ2 2025: −$975,000Q3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.1M-28%
Q2 2026$4.8M+$5.8M
Q1 2026$2.6M-67%
Q4 2025$9.5M-2.7%
Q3 2025$8.4M+194%
Q2 2025-$975K-119%
Q1 2025$7.9M+413%
Q4 2024$9.7M+34%

TRNS has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

TRNS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 10M
Q4 2023: 9MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 9MQ3 2024: 9MQ4 2024: 9MQ1 2025: 9MQ2 2025: 9MQ3 2025: 9MQ4 2025: 9MQ1 2026: 9MQ2 2026: 9MQ3 2026: 10M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+74K shares
1 year+1.6%+148K shares
3 years+20%+1.6M shares
5 years+26%+2M shares
Available history+26%+2M shares

TRNS has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TRNS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.7x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.5xQ3 2024: -0.5xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 2.7xQ4 2025: 2.4xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.7xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.4xModerate
Q3 20252.7xModerate
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

TRNS's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TRNS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic62.5Neutral

TRNS's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TRNS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTRNSSector medianRelative
PE226x24x840% above
PE %975839 pts above

TRNS is trading at 226x earnings, a 840% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

TRNS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$90.118% above
20 week MA$88.920% above
50 week MA$79.434% above
100 week MA$79.933% above
200 week MA$91.516% above

TRNS has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

TRNS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$31.8$33.0+3.8%
2021$33.0$92.9+181%
2022$92.9$70.0-25%
2023$70.0$109.3+56%
2024$109.3$106.0-3%
2025$106.0$58.9-44%
2026 YTD$58.9$106.3+81%

TRNS has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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