RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over TRN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.
TRN
Trinity Industries, Inc.
TRN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TRN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
TRN's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TRN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 7.5x | $30.18 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $46.62 | +54% |
| Forward | 16x | $30.18 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $72.30 | +140% |
| Expensive | 27x | $109 | +263% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TRN's PE is in its cheap range at 7.5x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 16x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over TRN on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
TRN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| Strongly weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect TRN's earnings and profitability to decline, with its revenue holding steady.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
TRN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.87 | -53% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.00 | +251% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.15 | +264% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.12 | +93% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.08 | +88% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.14 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.14 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.62 | +8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.64 | +29% |
TRN has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over TRN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TRN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $535.1M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $485.1M | -4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $492M | -16% |
| Q4 2025 | $611.2M | -2.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.1M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $506.2M | -40% |
| Q1 2025 | $585.4M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $629.4M | -21% |
TRN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $535M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 18% | -8.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 41% | +22 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 55% | +37 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +11 points |
| Q2 2025 | 19% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 17% | +2.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | -0.9 points |
TRN has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
TRN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.6M | +41% |
| Q2 2026 | $57.2M | +8.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $91.5M | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $158.6M | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $35.3M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | $52.9M | -77% |
| Q1 2025 | $67.3M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | $180.1M | +137% |
TRN has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TRN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.7% | -600K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -900K shares |
| 3 years | -3% | -2.5M shares |
| 5 years | -19% | -18.5M shares |
| Available history | -36% | -46.3M shares |
TRN has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.7M |
| Q2 2026 | $13.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.2M |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4M |
| Q3 2025 | $19.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $30.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $8.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $13.8M |
TRN spent $54M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 25% from the year before.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TRN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
TRN has more cash than debt.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TRN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.2 | Neutral |
TRN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TRN PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TRN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.5x | 24x | 69% below |
| PE % | 5 | 58 | 53 pts below |
TRN is trading at 7.5x earnings, a 69% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
TRN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $27.4 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $29.9 | 1% above |
| 50 week MA | $31.0 | 2.5% below |
| 100 week MA | $29.9 | 1% above |
| 200 week MA | $28.8 | 4.9% above |
TRN has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over TRN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TRN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.7 | $26.6 | +17% |
| 2021 | $26.6 | $29.5 | +11% |
| 2022 | $29.5 | $29.9 | +1.5% |
| 2023 | $29.9 | $26.6 | -11% |
| 2024 | $26.6 | $35.5 | +33% |
| 2025 | $35.5 | $27.5 | -22% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.5 | $30.2 | +9.7% |
TRN has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 9.7% so far in 2026.