RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over TNET overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TNET

TriNet Group, Inc.

48
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential48/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

TNET has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TNET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Unavailable

TNET's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TNET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.0x14x21x28x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$51.64-21%
Forward15x$65.34—
Fair18x$65.98+1%
Current18x$65.34—
Expensive21x$79.94+22%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TNET's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over TNET on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TNET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TNET, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TNET, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TNET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$87.57
Downside-38%$40.80

Calculated from the latest close: $65.34 on Nov 12.

TNET trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

TNET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.56Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.99Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $3.43Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $3.20Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.77Q3 2026: $3.72Forward: $4.41
Q4 2023: $6.56Q1 2024: $6.17Q2 2024: $5.99Q3 2024: $5.25Q4 2024: $3.43Q1 2025: $3.36Q2 2025: $2.93Q3 2025: $2.74Q4 2025: $3.20Q1 2026: $3.39Q2 2026: $3.77Q3 2026: $3.72Forward: $4.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.41+18%
Q3 2026$3.72+36%
Q2 2026$3.77+29%
Q1 2026$3.39+0.9%
Q4 2025$3.20-6.7%
Q3 2025$2.74-48%
Q2 2025$2.93-51%
Q1 2025$3.36-46%
Q4 2024$3.43-48%

TNET has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over TNET on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TNET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.3BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B-4.6%
Q2 2026$1.2B-4.8%
Q1 2026$1.2B-5.1%
Q4 2025$1.2B-5.9%
Q3 2025$1.2B-0.4%
Q2 2025$1.2B+1%
Q1 2025$1.3B+2.2%
Q4 2024$1.3B+6.5%

TNET's revenue is shrinking: $1.2B last quarter, down 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

TNET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $567MQ1 2024: −$140MQ2 2024: −$140MQ3 2024: −$56MQ4 2024: $537MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $53M
Q4 2023: $567MQ1 2024: −$140MQ2 2024: −$140MQ3 2024: −$56MQ4 2024: $537MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $57MQ3 2025: $55MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $123MQ2 2026: $67MQ3 2026: $53M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$53M-3.6%
Q2 2026$67M+18%
Q1 2026$123M+56%
Q4 2025$43M-92%
Q3 2025$55M+$111M
Q2 2025$57M+$197M
Q1 2025$79M+$219M
Q4 2024$537M-5.3%

TNET has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

TNET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 47M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 51MQ2 2024: 51MQ3 2024: 50MQ4 2024: 50MQ1 2025: 49MQ2 2025: 49MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 47MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 47M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.2%+1M shares
1 year-2.1%-1M shares
3 years-19%-11M shares
5 years-30%-20M shares
Available history-34%-24M shares

TNET has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TNET Net Leverage

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TNET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.0Neutral
Stochastic33.4Neutral

TNET's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TNET PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTNETSector medianRelative
PE18x24x27% below
PE %475811 pts below

TNET is trading at 18x earnings, a 27% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

TNET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$67.12.6% below
20 week MA$65.70.6% below
50 week MA$54.719% above
100 week MA$64.41.5% above
200 week MA$83.522% below

TNET has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over TNET on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TNET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$56.6$82.1+45%
2021$82.1$94.6+15%
2022$94.6$65.4-31%
2023$65.4$118.9+82%
2024$118.9$90.3-24%
2025$90.3$58.7-35%
2026 YTD$58.7$65.3+11%

TNET has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 11% so far in 2026.

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