RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over TIC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
TIC
TIC Solutions, Inc.
TIC has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TIC Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
TIC's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TIC PE Valuation
TIC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over TIC on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
TIC Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Turning to a loss | |
| Growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TIC's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over TIC in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
TIC Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.61 | -$0.19 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.64 | +$0.85 |
TIC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.61 per share over the past year, against $1.49 at its worst in mid-2025.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TIC Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $639.6M | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $584.3M | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $488M | +108% |
| Q4 2025 | $508.3M | +94% |
| Q3 2025 | $473.9M | +56% |
TIC has the edge over RDW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.9% | -4 points |
| Q1 2026 | -6% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.8% | -2.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4% | +24 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.8% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | -4% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | -1.3% | N/A |
TIC has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
TIC Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $22.3M | +116% |
| Q2 2026 | -$29.5M | -$14.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $4.2M | -85% |
| Q4 2025 | $37.1M | +242% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.3M | +119% |
| Q2 2025 | -$14.5M | +$20.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $28.3M | +84% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.9M | -80% |
TIC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TIC Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +7.8K shares |
| 1 year | -1.1% | -2.3M shares |
TIC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $7M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TIC Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.4x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 9.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 7.5x | High |
TIC's net debt is about 6.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 9.8 years a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TIC Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 78.3 | Neutral |
TIC's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TIC PE vs Industrials Sector
TIC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
TIC has stronger trend alignment. RDW is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus TIC above 3 of 3.
TIC Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.43 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.97 | 19% above |
| 50 week MA | $9.04 | 18% above |
TIC is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 18% above its 50-week average.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over TIC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TIC Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $12.6 | $10.6 | -16% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.6 | $10.6 | +0.1% |
TIC has finished every year since 2025 lower, and it's roughly flat so far in 2026.