RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over TH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
TH
Target Hospitality Corp.
TH has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Weak |
TH's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, but its profitability and balance sheet are weak.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TH PE Valuation
TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect TH to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over TH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
TH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.64 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.45 | -$0.34 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.37 | -470% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.43 | -200% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | -153% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.11 | -112% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.10 | -91% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | -69% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.70 | -55% |
TH lost $0.45 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over TH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $129.1M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $85.5M | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $72.8M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $89.8M | +7.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $99.4M | +4.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.6M | -39% |
| Q1 2025 | $69.9M | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $83.7M | -34% |
TH's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $129M last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | -8.8% | +19 points |
| Q1 2026 | -20% | -18 points |
| Q4 2025 | -19% | -44 points |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1% | -29 points |
| Q2 2025 | -27% | -57 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.5% | -30 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | -12 points |
TH has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
TH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $40.4M | -24% |
| Q2 2026 | $96.2M | +772% |
| Q1 2026 | $6.9M | +$18.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $5.7M | -81% |
| Q3 2025 | $53.3M | +70% |
| Q2 2025 | $11M | -72% |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.6M | -123% |
| Q4 2024 | $30.2M | -21% |
TH has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -315K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +121K shares |
| 3 years | -4.9% | -5.2M shares |
| 5 years | +3.2% | +3.1M shares |
| Available history | +2.1% | +2.1M shares |
TH has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | $11.6M |
| Q3 2024 | $1.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $23,000 |
| Q1 2024 | $21.2M |
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $5.3M |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 1.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
TH's net debt is about 4.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 37.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 12.4 | Oversold |
TH's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TH PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
TH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
TH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.5 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $16.9 | 29% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.8 | 13% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.8 | 11% above |
| 200 week MA | $11.2 | 6.8% above |
TH has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
TH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $4.92 | $1.61 | -67% |
| 2021 | $1.61 | $3.31 | +106% |
| 2022 | $3.31 | $15.5 | +369% |
| 2023 | $15.5 | $9.73 | -37% |
| 2024 | $9.73 | $9.88 | +1.5% |
| 2025 | $9.88 | $8.48 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.48 | $12.0 | +41% |
TH has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.