RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has a slight edge over TFII overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

TFII

TFI International Inc.

58
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation52/ 100
Upside potential79/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

TFII has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TFII Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

TFII's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TFII PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$56.59-41%
Forward15x$96.09—
Fair20x$88.07-8.3%
Current22x$96.09—
Expensive31x$135+40%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFII's PE is in its fair range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

TFII Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TFII, with profitability improving.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails TFII on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TFII Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$139.17
Downside-12%$84.43

Calculated from the latest close: $96.09 on Nov 12.

TFII has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

TFII Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $6.02Q4 2023: $5.85Q1 2024: $5.67Q2 2024: $5.54Q3 2024: $5.52Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.33Q3 2025: $3.84Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $3.94Q2 2026: $4.40Forward: $6.59
Q3 2023: $6.02Q4 2023: $5.85Q1 2024: $5.67Q2 2024: $5.54Q3 2024: $5.52Q4 2024: $4.93Q1 2025: $4.50Q2 2025: $4.33Q3 2025: $3.84Q4 2025: $4.07Q1 2026: $3.94Q2 2026: $4.40Forward: $6.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.59+50%
Q2 2026$4.40+1.6%
Q1 2026$3.94-12%
Q4 2025$4.07-17%
Q3 2025$3.84-30%
Q2 2025$4.33-22%
Q1 2025$4.50-21%
Q4 2024$4.93-16%
Q3 2024$5.52-8.3%

TFII has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over TFII on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFII Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2.3B
Q3 2023: $1.9BQ4 2023: $2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.3BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.1BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $2.7BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$2.3B+11%
Q1 2026$1.9B-0.8%
Q4 2025$2.7B+28%
Q3 2025$1.9B-11%
Q2 2025$2.1B-8.5%
Q1 2025$2B+5%
Q4 2024$2.1B+2.7%
Q3 2024$2.2B+14%

TFII's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $2.3B last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

TFII Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $157MQ4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $130MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $153MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $180M
Q3 2023: $157MQ4 2023: $227MQ1 2024: $122MQ2 2024: $130MQ3 2024: $229MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $153MQ2 2025: $166MQ3 2025: $181MQ4 2025: $278MQ1 2026: $94MQ2 2026: $180M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$180M+8.7%
Q1 2026$94.3M-38%
Q4 2025$277.9M+51%
Q3 2025$181.5M-21%
Q2 2025$165.6M+28%
Q1 2025$152.8M+25%
Q4 2024$183.7M-19%
Q3 2024$229M+46%

TFII has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

TFII Total Shares

Q3 2023: 87MQ4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82M
Q3 2023: 87MQ4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 85MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 85MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 83MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 82MQ2 2026: 82M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+24.9K shares
1 year-1.5%-1.2M shares
3 years-5.4%-4.7M shares
5 years-14%-12.9M shares
Available history-17%-16.6M shares

TFII has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TFII Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2x
Q3 2023: 1.6xQ4 2023: 1.7xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 2.6xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.4xQ3 2025: 2.5xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.2xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.5xModerate
Q2 20252.4xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate
Q3 20242.4xModerate

TFII's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.4 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

TFII Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.3Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

TFII's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TFII PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricTFIISector medianRelative
PE22x24x9.3% below
PE %53585 pts below

TFII is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

TFII Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$108.111% below
20 week MA$127.425% below
50 week MA$124.823% below
100 week MA$110.513% below
200 week MA$120.820% below

TFII is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over TFII on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TFII Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.0$51.6+52%
2021$51.6$108.7+111%
2022$108.7$101.4-6.7%
2023$101.4$136.0+34%
2024$136.0$137.7+1.3%
2025$137.7$106.3-23%
2026 YTD$106.3$96.1-9.6%

TFII has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 9.6% so far in 2026.

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