RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over TEX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TEX
Terex Corporation
TEX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
TEX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
TEX's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TEX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8x | $15.81 | -73% |
| Forward | 10x | $57.56 | — |
| Fair | 12x | $24.64 | -57% |
| Expensive | 29x | $57.50 | -0.1% |
| Current | 29x | $57.56 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TEX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
TEX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TEX, with profitability improving.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
TEX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.57 | +181% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.98 | -16% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.96 | -27% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.09 | -43% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.33 | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.35 | -66% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.68 | -63% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.67 | -51% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.96 | -35% |
TEX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TEX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2B | +51% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +41% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | +6.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.4B | +14% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.5B | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | -4.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +1.5% |
TEX's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.2B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.3% | -1.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.4% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.7% | -10 points |
| Q4 2025 | 10% | +6.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | 0 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8.7% | -5.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 5.6% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.3% | -5.2 points |
TEX has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
TEX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $241M | +85% |
| Q2 2026 | $128M | +64% |
| Q1 2026 | -$57M | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $130M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $78M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | -$57M | -$23.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $116.4M | -16% |
| Q2 2024 | $66.5M | -45% |
TEX generated $483M in free cash flow over the past year, up 81% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
TEX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.2% | -200K shares |
| 1 year | +73% | +48.1M shares |
| 3 years | +67% | +45.9M shares |
| 5 years | +61% | +43.1M shares |
| Available history | +59% | +42.2M shares |
TEX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $72M |
| Q2 2026 | $3M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $1M |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $23M |
| Q1 2025 | $32M |
| Q4 2024 | $15M |
TEX spent $76M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 8.6% from the year before.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
TEX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 3.7x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
TEX's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
TEX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.1 | Neutral |
TEX's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TEX PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | TEX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 24x | 21% above |
| PE % | 83 | 58 | 25 pts above |
TEX is trading at 29x earnings, a 21% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
TEX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $54.5 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $60.9 | 5.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $60.7 | 5.1% below |
| 100 week MA | $53.4 | 7.9% above |
| 200 week MA | $54.2 | 6.2% above |
TEX has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over TEX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TEX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $30.1 | $35.9 | +19% |
| 2021 | $35.9 | $43.5 | +21% |
| 2022 | $43.5 | $43.1 | -1.1% |
| 2023 | $43.1 | $57.5 | +33% |
| 2024 | $57.5 | $45.2 | -21% |
| 2025 | $45.2 | $55.2 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $55.2 | $57.6 | +4.3% |
TEX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.3% so far in 2026.