RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

SPXC

SPX Technologies, Inc.

69
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

SPXC has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SPXC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

SPXC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPXC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x88x132x177x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE44x88x132x177x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$151—
Cheap18x$109-28%
Current25x$151—
Fair35x$208+38%
Expensive70x$412+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPXC's PE is in its fair range at 25x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over SPXC on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SPXC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SPXC, with profitability holding steady.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails SPXC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPXC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$226.33
Downside-12%$133.17

Calculated from the latest close: $150.60 on Nov 12.

SPXC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SPXC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.93Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $3.73Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.30Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $5.03Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.92Forward: $9.34
Q4 2023: $1.93Q1 2024: $2.06Q2 2024: $2.23Q3 2024: $3.73Q4 2024: $4.26Q1 2025: $4.30Q2 2025: $4.46Q3 2025: $4.68Q4 2025: $5.03Q1 2026: $5.13Q2 2026: $5.58Q3 2026: $5.92Forward: $9.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.34+58%
Q3 2026$5.92+26%
Q2 2026$5.58+25%
Q1 2026$5.13+19%
Q4 2025$5.03+18%
Q3 2025$4.68+25%
Q2 2025$4.46+100%
Q1 2025$4.30+109%
Q4 2024$4.26+121%

SPXC has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SPXC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $469MQ1 2024: $465MQ2 2024: $501MQ3 2024: $484MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $483MQ2 2025: $552MQ3 2025: $593MQ4 2025: $637MQ1 2026: $567MQ2 2026: $679MQ3 2026: $715M
Q4 2023: $469MQ1 2024: $465MQ2 2024: $501MQ3 2024: $484MQ4 2024: $534MQ1 2025: $483MQ2 2025: $552MQ3 2025: $593MQ4 2025: $637MQ1 2026: $567MQ2 2026: $679MQ3 2026: $715M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$714.5M+21%
Q2 2026$679M+23%
Q1 2026$566.8M+17%
Q4 2025$637.3M+19%
Q3 2025$592.8M+23%
Q2 2025$552.4M+10%
Q1 2025$482.6M+3.7%
Q4 2024$533.7M+14%

SPXC's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $715M last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SPXC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $600,000Q2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $19M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $600,000Q2 2024: $47MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $157MQ1 2025: −$16MQ2 2025: $35MQ3 2025: $96MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $12MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: $19M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$19.3M-80%
Q2 2026$68.5M+97%
Q1 2026$12.1M+$28.5M
Q4 2025$126.7M-19%
Q3 2025$96.1M+121%
Q2 2025$34.8M-26%
Q1 2025-$16.4M-2833%
Q4 2024$156.7M+32%

SPXC has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SPXC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 47MQ3 2025: 49MQ4 2025: 49MQ1 2026: 51MQ2 2026: 51MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-30K shares
1 year+3.5%+1.7M shares
3 years+8.3%+3.9M shares
5 years+8.6%+4M shares
Available history+13%+5.7M shares

SPXC has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SPXC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 1.9xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.1xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20261.0xHealthy
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.1xHealthy

SPXC's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SPXC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic11.4Oversold

SPXC's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPXC PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSPXCSector medianRelative
PE25x24x5.7% above
PE %335825 pts below

SPXC is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

SPXC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$161.97% below
20 week MA$190.121% below
50 week MA$204.826% below
100 week MA$185.319% below
200 week MA$147.02.5% above

SPXC has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over SPXC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPXC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.6$53.9+6.5%
2021$53.9$57.9+7.3%
2022$57.9$65.3+13%
2023$65.3$101.0+55%
2024$101.0$146.0+45%
2025$146.0$208.5+43%
2026 YTD$208.5$150.6-28%

SPXC has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's down 28% so far in 2026.

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