RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over SPIR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SPIR
Spire Global, Inc.
SPIR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SPIR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SPIR's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPIR PE Valuation
SPIR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SPIR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SPIR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
SPIR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.67 | -721% |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.76 | -611% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.48 | +$5.34 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.49 | +$5.75 |
| Q3 2025 | $0.43 | +$4.02 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.54 | +$4.49 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.86 | +$0.29 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.26 | -$0.32 |
SPIR has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over SPIR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW has the edge over SPIR on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SPIR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18M | +42% |
| Q2 2026 | $18M | -5.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8M | -34% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.8M | -27% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.7M | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $19.2M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.9M | -31% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.7M | -77% |
SPIR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $18M last quarter, up 42% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -112% | +54 points |
| Q2 2026 | -110% | +12 points |
| Q1 2026 | -155% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -146% | -4.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | -166% | -118 points |
| Q2 2025 | -123% | -74 points |
| Q1 2025 | -107% | -72 points |
| Q4 2024 | -142% | -118 points |
SPIR's operating margin was −112% last quarter, up 54 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
SPIR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$13.9M | +$6.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$28.8M | +$9.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$34.2M | -$16.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$16.2M | +$8.1M |
| Q3 2025 | -$20.4M | -502% |
| Q2 2025 | -$38.7M | -$28.8M |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.3M | -$1.4M |
| Q4 2024 | -$24.3M | -$22.1M |
SPIR has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SPIR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.3% | +873K shares |
| 1 year | +21% | +6.7M shares |
| 3 years | +89% | +18.4M shares |
| 5 years | +365% | +30.7M shares |
| Available history | +2936% | +37.9M shares |
SPIR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SPIR Net Leverage
SPIR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SPIR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 15.8 | Oversold |
SPIR's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SPIR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SPIR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
SPIR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
SPIR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.78 | 5.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $11.8 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.1 | 29% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 23% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.2 | 8.8% below |
SPIR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.8% below its 200-week average.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
SPIR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.4 | $80.6 | +4.1% |
| 2021 | $80.6 | $30.2 | -63% |
| 2022 | $30.2 | $8.08 | -73% |
| 2023 | $8.08 | $7.82 | -3.2% |
| 2024 | $7.82 | $14.5 | +86% |
| 2025 | $14.5 | $7.74 | -47% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.74 | $9.28 | +20% |
SPIR has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.