RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over SPCB overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

SPCB

SuperCom Ltd.

51
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

SPCB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SPCB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Stable
Weak

SPCB's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPCB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$6.66—
Cheap16x$2.50-62%
Fair18x$2.91-56%
Expensive38x$6.05-9.1%
Current42x$6.66—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SPCB's PE is 42x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over SPCB on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SPCB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SPCB, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPCB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPCB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+44%$9.61
Downside-31%$4.62

Calculated from the latest close: $6.66 on Nov 12.

SPCB trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SPCB Earnings Per Share

Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.26Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.59
Q2 2025: $0.76Q3 2025: $1.14Q4 2025: $1.26Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.59
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.59+272%
Q2 2026$0.16-79%

SPCB has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over SPCB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SPCB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8M
Q3 2023: $7MQ4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $7MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $7MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$8.1M+13%
Q1 2026$7.6M+8%
Q4 2025$7.5M+13%
Q3 2025$6.2M-9.9%
Q2 2025$7.1M-5.4%
Q1 2025$7M+2.9%
Q4 2024$6.6M+17%
Q3 2024$6.9M+2%

SPCB's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $8M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SPCB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: −$665,999Q4 2024: −$665,999Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: −$665,999Q4 2024: −$665,999Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$666K
Q3 2025$0+$666K
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$666K-$666K
Q3 2024-$666K-$666K

SPCB's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SPCB Total Shares

Q3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 5MQ4 2025: 5MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+14K shares
1 year+59%+2.1M shares

SPCB has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SPCB Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 68.9xQ1 2024: 14.7xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 5.0x
Q4 2023: 68.9xQ1 2024: 14.7xQ2 2024: 4.8xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 5.0xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 3.2xQ2 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20265.0xHigh
Q1 20263.2xElevated
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20245.0xHigh
Q3 20245.4xHigh

SPCB's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SPCB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic17.9Oversold

SPCB's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SPCB PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSPCBSector medianRelative
PE42x24x73% above
PE %935835 pts above

SPCB is trading at 42x earnings, a 73% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

SPCB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.8825% below
20 week MA$9.9933% below
50 week MA$9.6431% below
100 week MA$9.4530% below
200 week MA$10.738% below

SPCB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 38% below its 200-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over SPCB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SPCB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.0$212.0+64%
2021$212.0$106.2-50%
2022$106.2$40.0-62%
2023$40.0$7.72-81%
2024$7.72$3.84-50%
2025$3.84$9.35+143%
2026 YTD$9.35$6.66-29%

SPCB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +143% in 2025 to −81% in 2023. It's down 29% so far in 2026.

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