RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over SKYX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SKYX

SKYX Platforms Corp.

53
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

SKYX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SKYX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

SKYX's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKYX PE Valuation

SKYX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

SKYX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SKYX's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SKYX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SKYX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+72%$1.19
Downside-41%$0.41

Calculated from the latest close: $0.69 on Nov 12.

SKYX trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SKYX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.45Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26
Q4 2023: $-0.45Q1 2024: $-0.45Q2 2024: $-0.39Q3 2024: $-0.39Q4 2024: $-0.36Q1 2025: $-0.35Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.34Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.30Q2 2026: $-0.28Q3 2026: $-0.26
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.26+$0.08
Q2 2026-$0.28+$0.07
Q1 2026-$0.30+$0.05
Q4 2025-$0.32+$0.04
Q3 2025-$0.34+$0.05
Q2 2025-$0.35+$0.04
Q1 2025-$0.35+$0.10
Q4 2024-$0.36+$0.09

SKYX has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SKYX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: $22MQ4 2024: $24MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $23MQ3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $25MQ1 2026: $22MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$25.7M+7.4%
Q2 2026$25.3M+9.6%
Q1 2026$22.1M+9.8%
Q4 2025$24.9M+5.3%
Q3 2025$23.9M+7.8%
Q2 2025$23.1M+7.5%
Q1 2025$20.1M+6%
Q4 2024$23.7M+6.8%

SKYX's revenue has grown year over year for 18 quarters in a row: $26M last quarter, up 7.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SKYX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: −$4MQ3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: −$5MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$2MQ3 2025: −$5MQ4 2025: −$2MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.2M+$770.7K
Q2 2026-$3.7M-$1.7M
Q1 2026-$6M-$1.7M
Q4 2025-$2M+$3.3M
Q3 2025-$5M-$2.2M
Q2 2025-$2M+$2.5M
Q1 2025-$4.3M+$1.9M
Q4 2024-$5.3M-$2.4M

SKYX has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SKYX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 136M
Q4 2023: 88MQ1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 99MQ3 2024: 104MQ4 2024: 100MQ1 2025: 104MQ2 2025: 107MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 109MQ1 2026: 129MQ2 2026: 135MQ3 2026: 136M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+1.1M shares
1 year+21%+23.6M shares
3 years+49%+44.5M shares
5 years+109%+70.6M shares
Available history+154%+82.2M shares

SKYX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SKYX Net Leverage

SKYX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SKYX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.6Neutral
Stochastic5.0Oversold

SKYX's weekly RSI is 32 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SKYX PE vs Industrials Sector

SKYX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

SKYX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.9427% below
20 week MA$1.1037% below
50 week MA$1.4552% below
100 week MA$1.3950% below
200 week MA$1.5957% below

SKYX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 57% below its 200-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over SKYX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SKYX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$10.5$2.07-80%
2023$2.07$1.60-23%
2024$1.60$1.01-37%
2025$1.01$2.32+130%
2026 YTD$2.32$0.69-70%

SKYX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +130% in 2025 to −80% in 2022. It's down 70% so far in 2026.

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