RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over SKYW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
SKYW
SkyWest, Inc.
SKYW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SKYW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
SKYW's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SKYW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 7.8x | $82.50 | — |
| Current | 8x | $82.50 | — |
| Cheap | 8.7x | $89.40 | +8.4% |
| Fair | 12x | $122 | +48% |
| Expensive | 28x | $292 | +254% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SKYW's PE is in its cheap range at 8.0x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 7.8x.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over SKYW on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SKYW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SKYW, with profitability holding steady.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
SKYW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $10.56 | +2.2% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.33 | -1.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.06 | +2.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.43 | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.35 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.48 | +82% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.83 | +137% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.74 | +227% |
| Q4 2024 | $7.77 | +909% |
SKYW has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SKYW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.1B | +6.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +6.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +8.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $1B | +19% |
| Q1 2025 | $948.5M | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $944.4M | +26% |
SKYW's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 6.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 16% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | -2.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | -2.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 13% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | +2.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 16% | +2.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 15% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 15% | +12 points |
SKYW has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
SKYW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $124.8M | -45% |
| Q2 2026 | $283.9M | +141% |
| Q1 2026 | $130.4M | -20% |
| Q4 2025 | $224.3M | +38% |
| Q3 2025 | $225.4M | +127% |
| Q2 2025 | $117.6M | -5.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $162.6M | +6% |
| Q4 2024 | $162.7M | -28% |
SKYW has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SKYW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -793K shares |
| 1 year | -6.2% | -2.6M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -3.8M shares |
| 5 years | -23% | -11.9M shares |
| Available history | -24% | -12M shares |
SKYW has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2024 | $8.8M |
| Q3 2023 | $50.5M |
| Q2 2023 | $96M |
| Q1 2023 | $100M |
| Q4 2020 | $6.2M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | $26.2M |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SKYW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
SKYW's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SKYW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.7 | Oversold |
SKYW's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SKYW PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SKYW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8x | 24x | 67% below |
| PE % | 12 | 58 | 46 pts below |
SKYW is trading at 8.0x earnings, a 67% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
SKYW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $90.5 | 8.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $97.0 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $95.9 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $99.1 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $77.8 | 6% above |
SKYW has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over SKYW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SKYW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $64.9 | $40.4 | -38% |
| 2021 | $40.4 | $41.3 | +2.1% |
| 2022 | $41.3 | $15.6 | -62% |
| 2023 | $15.6 | $52.2 | +235% |
| 2024 | $52.2 | $101.3 | +94% |
| 2025 | $101.3 | $102.8 | +1.5% |
| 2026 YTD | $102.8 | $82.5 | -20% |
SKYW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +235% in 2023 to −62% in 2022. It's down 20% so far in 2026.