RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over SIF overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
SIF
SIFCO Industries, Inc.
SIF has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SIF Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
SIF's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIF PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.5x | $2.25 | -87% |
| Fair | 7.1x | $4.57 | -73% |
| Expensive | 26x | $16.68 | -0.8% |
| Current | 26x | $16.81 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SIF's PE is in its expensive range at 26x.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SIF Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for SIF to show an outlook.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
SIF Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0.64 | +$0.77 |
| Q1 2026 | $1.21 | +$1.89 |
| Q4 2025 | $0.55 | +$1.26 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.12 | +$0.78 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$1.21 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.68 | +$0.78 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.71 | +$0.89 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.90 | +$0.57 |
SIF has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over SIF on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SIF Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $26.1M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $26.4M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $24M | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $22.8M | +5.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.1M | -24% |
| Q1 2025 | $19M | -28% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.9M | -0.8% |
| Q3 2024 | $21.7M | -12% |
SIF's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $26M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.1% | -14 points |
| Q1 2026 | 10% | +14 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | +20 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7% | +13 points |
| Q2 2025 | 15% | +10 points |
| Q1 2025 | -4.1% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -9.2% | +4.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | -14% | -4.1 points |
SIF has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
SIF Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$2.1M | -792% |
| Q1 2026 | -$3M | -212% |
| Q4 2025 | $8M | +$11.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $566K | -76% |
| Q2 2025 | $310K | +$658K |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M | +$6.7M |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.9M | -$1.3M |
| Q3 2024 | $2.4M | +563% |
SIF has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SIF Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.9% | -55K shares |
| 1 year | -0.1% | -7K shares |
| 3 years | +3.2% | +191K shares |
| 5 years | +2.1% | +125K shares |
| Available history | +10% | +565K shares |
SIF has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q3 2019 | — |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SIF Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 3.5x | Elevated |
| Q2 2025 | 11.0x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 112.5x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 31.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 118.2x | High |
SIF's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 11 years a year ago.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SIF Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 13.2 | Oversold |
SIF's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SIF PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | SIF | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 24x | 9.1% above |
| PE % | 84 | 58 | 26 pts above |
SIF is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
SIF Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.5 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $22.0 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $16.7 | 0.9% above |
| 100 week MA | $10.6 | 58% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.99 | 140% above |
SIF has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
SIF Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $3.98 | $5.30 | +33% |
| 2021 | $5.30 | $6.00 | +13% |
| 2022 | $6.00 | $2.40 | -60% |
| 2023 | $2.40 | $4.54 | +89% |
| 2024 | $4.54 | $3.65 | -20% |
| 2025 | $3.65 | $5.43 | +49% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.43 | $16.8 | +210% |
SIF has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.