RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SHIP

Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation71/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

SHIP has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHIP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Stable

SHIP's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHIP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x96x144x192x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE48x96x144x192x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.1x$8.79-44%
Current5.5x$15.58—
Forward5.5x$15.58—
Fair9.8x$28.08+80%
Expensive14x$41.38+166%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHIP's PE is in its fair range at 5.5x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 5.5x.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over SHIP on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

SHIP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect SHIP's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHIP, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHIP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$20.77
Downside-26%$11.46

Calculated from the latest close: $15.58 on Nov 12.

SHIP trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SHIP Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.49Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $1.00Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.86Forward: $2.82
Q3 2023: $-0.49Q4 2023: $0.05Q1 2024: $0.80Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $2.32Q4 2024: $2.09Q1 2025: $1.25Q2 2025: $0.75Q3 2025: $0.73Q4 2025: $1.00Q1 2026: $1.79Q2 2026: $2.86Forward: $2.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.82-1.3%
Q2 2026$2.86+281%
Q1 2026$1.79+43%
Q4 2025$1.00-52%
Q3 2025$0.73-69%
Q2 2025$0.75-47%
Q1 2025$1.25+56%
Q4 2024$2.09+4080%
Q3 2024$2.32+$2.81

SHIP has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over SHIP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SHIP Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $24MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $56M
Q3 2023: $24MQ4 2023: $39MQ1 2024: $38MQ2 2024: $43MQ3 2024: $44MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $24MQ2 2025: $37MQ3 2025: $47MQ4 2025: $49MQ1 2026: $43MQ2 2026: $56M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$55.7M+49%
Q1 2026$42.9M+77%
Q4 2025$49.4M+19%
Q3 2025$47M+5.9%
Q2 2025$37.5M-13%
Q1 2025$24.2M-37%
Q4 2024$41.7M+5.7%
Q3 2024$44.4M+81%

SHIP's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $56M last quarter, up 49% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SHIP Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$8M
Q3 2023: $6MQ4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: −$13MQ1 2025: −$28MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $27MQ1 2026: −$20MQ2 2026: −$8M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$7.6M-192%
Q1 2026-$19.6M+$8.4M
Q4 2025$26.5M+$39.6M
Q3 2025$10.8M-18%
Q2 2025$8.2M+$21.9M
Q1 2025-$28M-294%
Q4 2024-$13.1M-156%
Q3 2024$13.3M+122%

SHIP has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SHIP Total Shares

Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
Q3 2023: 18MQ4 2023: 19MQ1 2024: 19MQ2 2024: 20MQ3 2024: 20MQ4 2024: 20MQ1 2025: 20MQ2 2025: 20MQ3 2025: 21MQ4 2025: 21MQ1 2026: 21MQ2 2026: 21M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+177K shares
1 year+3.2%+664K shares
3 years+7.4%+1.5M shares
5 years+23%+3.9M shares
Available history+2117046%+21.1M shares

SHIP has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHIP Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1x
Q3 2023: 5.4xQ4 2023: 4.4xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.1xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 3.7xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 3.5xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.5xElevated
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20253.7xElevated
Q4 20242.6xModerate
Q3 20242.1xModerate

SHIP's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SHIP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.4Neutral
Stochastic19.7Oversold

SHIP's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHIP PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricSHIPSector medianRelative
PE5.5x24x77% below
PE %335825 pts below

SHIP is trading at 5.5x earnings, a 77% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

SHIP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$16.02.8% below
20 week MA$16.55.3% below
50 week MA$14.39.3% above
100 week MA$10.745% above
200 week MA$9.1470% above

SHIP has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

SHIP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$81.4$5.04-94%
2021$5.04$9.12+81%
2022$9.12$5.74-37%
2023$5.74$7.83+36%
2024$7.83$6.72-14%
2025$6.72$9.45+41%
2026 YTD$9.45$15.6+65%

SHIP has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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