RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over SHIM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SHIM

Shimmick Corporation Common Stock

56
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

SHIM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHIM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

SHIM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHIM PE Valuation

SHIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.7x next year's earnings.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

SHIM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect SHIM to return to profit, with revenue growing.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHIM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SHIM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+74%$4.06
Downside-42%$1.35

Calculated from the latest close: $2.34 on Nov 12.

SHIM trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

SHIM Earnings Per Share

Forward: $0.27
Forward: $0.27

SHIM and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over SHIM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SHIM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $107MQ4 2026: $136M
Q4 2023: $138MQ1 2024: $120MQ2 2024: $91MQ3 2024: $166MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $122MQ3 2025: $128MQ4 2025: $142MQ1 2026: $100MQ2 2026: $88MQ3 2026: $107MQ4 2026: $136M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$135.8M-4.3%
Q2 2026$106.6M-17%
Q1 2026$88M-28%
Q4 2025$100.4M-3%
Q3 2025$141.9M-15%
Q2 2025$128.4M+42%
Q1 2025$122.1M+1.7%
Q4 2024$103.6M-25%

SHIM's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $136M last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

SHIM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: $109,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$17MQ4 2026: $9M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$40MQ2 2024: −$47MQ3 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $44MQ2 2025: −$39MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: −$29MQ1 2026: $109,000Q2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: −$17MQ4 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$9M+$37.8M
Q2 2026-$17.1M-$13M
Q1 2026-$8.1M+$30.6M
Q4 2025$109K-100%
Q3 2025-$28.7M-379%
Q2 2025-$4.2M+$42.7M
Q1 2025-$38.7M+$879K
Q4 2024$44.4M+$68.6M

SHIM has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

SHIM Total Shares

PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-14%-3.6M shares
1 year-14%-3.6M shares

SHIM has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SHIM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 15.2xQ4 2026: 4.0x
Q4 2023: -2.0xQ3 2026: 15.2xQ4 2026: 4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.0xHigh
Q2 202615.2xHigh
Q4 2023-2.0xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.4xNet Cash

SHIM's net debt is about 4.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

SHIM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI35.7Neutral
Stochastic8.9Oversold

SHIM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SHIM PE vs Industrials Sector

SHIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

SHIM has stronger trend alignment. RDW is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SHIM above 0 of 4.

SHIM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.6712% below
20 week MA$3.3330% below
50 week MA$3.6336% below
100 week MA$2.9120% below

SHIM is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 100-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over SHIM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHIM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2023$6.70$6.60-1.5%
2024$6.60$3.15-52%
2025$3.15$3.19+1.3%
2026 YTD$3.19$2.34-27%

SHIM has finished lower in two of the last three years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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