RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over SERV overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
SERV
Serve Robotics Inc.
SERV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SERV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
SERV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SERV PE Valuation
SERV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
SERV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect SERV's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
SERV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.63 | -$1.27 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.49 | -$1.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.05 | -$1.12 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.63 | -$0.56 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.36 | +$0.82 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.02 | +$1.37 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.93 | +$1.19 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.07 | +$0.68 |
SERV has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW has the edge over SERV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SERV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.8M | +313% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.2M | +404% |
| Q1 2026 | $3M | +577% |
| Q4 2025 | $882K | +402% |
| Q3 2025 | $687K | +210% |
| Q2 2025 | $642K | +37% |
| Q1 2025 | $440.5K | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $175.8K | +312% |
SERV has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2158% | +2910 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2040% | +1487 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1735% | +1671 points |
| Q4 2025 | -4569% | +3152 points |
| Q3 2025 | -5068% | -1256 points |
| Q2 2025 | -3527% | -1700 points |
| Q1 2025 | -3407% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | -7721% | N/A |
SERV's operating margin was −2158% last quarter, up 2910 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has the edge over SERV on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SERV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$44.1M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2026 | -$44.3M | -$22.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$42.9M | -$29.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$46.1M | -$35M |
| Q3 2025 | -$36.5M | -$26.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$22M | -$15.5M |
| Q2 2024 | -$6.5M | -$6.5M |
| Q2 2023 | -$23.1K | -$7.9K |
SERV has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$177M over the past year, against −$83M the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SERV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +8.2% | +6.6M shares |
| 1 year | +42% | +25.6M shares |
| 3 years | +1639% | +81.9M shares |
| 5 years | +1781% | +82.3M shares |
SERV has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SERV Net Leverage
SERV's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
SERV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 29.5 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
SERV's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SERV PE vs Industrials Sector
SERV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
SERV has stronger trend alignment. RDW is above 0 of 5 weekly averages versus SERV above 0 of 4.
SERV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.52 | 18% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.45 | 35% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.65 | 62% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.56 | 70% below |
SERV is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 100-week average.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over SERV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SERV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $5.51 | $16.3 | +196% |
| 2025 | $16.3 | $10.1 | -38% |
| 2026 YTD | $10.1 | $2.90 | -71% |
SERV has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's down 71% so far in 2026.