RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over RYAAY overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

RYAAY

Ryanair Holdings plc

52
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential56/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

RYAAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RYAAY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

RYAAY's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RYAAY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x55x83x111x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.8x$50.83-12%
Current7.7x$57.88—
Fair15x$109+88%
Expensive23x$168+191%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RYAAY's PE is 7.7x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over RYAAY on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

RYAAY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RYAAY's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RYAAY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RYAAY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$72.70
Downside-21%$46.00

Calculated from the latest close: $57.88 on Nov 12.

RYAAY trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

RYAAY Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.62Q4 2024: $3.12Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $6.10Q3 2025: $10.19Q4 2025: $9.95Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $7.48
Q3 2023: $4.62Q4 2024: $3.12Q1 2025: $2.99Q2 2025: $6.10Q3 2025: $10.19Q4 2025: $9.95Q1 2026: $9.75Q2 2026: $7.48
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$7.48+23%
Q1 2026$9.75+226%
Q4 2025$9.95+219%
Q3 2023$4.62+128%
Q2 2023$3.40+819%
Q1 2023$2.47+$2.99
Q4 2022$2.62+$3.45
Q3 2022$2.03+$3.30

RYAAY has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over RYAAY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RYAAY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $5.5BQ4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $4.9B
Q3 2023: $5.5BQ4 2023: $3.3BQ1 2024: $2.6BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: $5.6BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $2.6BQ2 2025: $4.8BQ3 2025: $6.1BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.9B+1.1%
Q1 2026$2.8B+11%
Q4 2025$3.6B+8.6%
Q3 2025$6.1B+8.2%
Q2 2025$4.8B+20%
Q1 2025$2.6B-2.5%
Q4 2024$3.3B0%
Q3 2024$5.6B+2.8%

RYAAY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $4.9B last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

RYAAY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$147MQ4 2023: −$781MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $695MQ3 2024: −$370MQ4 2024: −$322MQ1 2025: −$322MQ2 2025: $928MQ3 2025: −$188MQ4 2025: −$436MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $810M
Q3 2023: −$147MQ4 2023: −$781MQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $695MQ3 2024: −$370MQ4 2024: −$322MQ1 2025: −$322MQ2 2025: $928MQ3 2025: −$188MQ4 2025: −$436MQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $810M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$809.5M-13%
Q1 2026$1.7B+$2B
Q4 2025-$436.1M-$114.2M
Q3 2025-$188.4M+$181.6M
Q2 2025$928M+34%
Q1 2025-$321.8M-120%
Q4 2024-$321.8M+$459.5M
Q3 2024-$370M-$222.6M

RYAAY has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

RYAAY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 572MQ1 2024: 570MQ2 2024: 558MQ3 2024: 565MQ4 2024: 543MQ1 2025: 554MQ2 2025: 535MQ3 2025: 534MQ4 2025: 534MQ1 2026: 522MQ2 2026: 525M
Q3 2023: 572MQ1 2024: 570MQ2 2024: 558MQ3 2024: 565MQ4 2024: 543MQ1 2025: 554MQ2 2025: 535MQ3 2025: 534MQ4 2025: 534MQ1 2026: 522MQ2 2026: 525M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+3.1M shares
1 year-1.9%-10.3M shares
3 years+23%+96.5M shares
5 years-6.2%-34.7M shares
Available history-6.5%-36.4M shares

RYAAY has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RYAAY Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.6x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.4xQ2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.4xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.4xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.3xQ2 2026: -0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

RYAAY has more cash than debt.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RYAAY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.0Neutral
Stochastic54.7Neutral

RYAAY's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 55 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RYAAY PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRYAAYSector medianRelative
PE7.7x24x68% below
PE %245834 pts below

RYAAY is trading at 7.7x earnings, a 68% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

RYAAY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$55.15.1% above
20 week MA$57.11.3% above
50 week MA$61.15.2% below
100 week MA$57.50.7% above
200 week MA$51.213% above

RYAAY has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over RYAAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RYAAY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$34.8$43.2+24%
2021$43.2$41.9-2.9%
2022$41.9$30.6-27%
2023$30.6$53.3+74%
2024$53.3$44.1-17%
2025$44.1$73.7+67%
2026 YTD$73.7$57.9-21%

RYAAY has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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