RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over RRX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

RRX

Regal Rexnord Corporation

48
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation18/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

RRX has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Under pressure

RRX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x29x44x58x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$181—
Cheap21x$72.73-60%
Fair28x$96.42-47%
Expensive42x$145-19%
Current52x$181—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RRX's PE is in its expensive range at 52x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RRX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$219.44
Downside-25%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $180.53 on Nov 12.

RRX trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

RRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.87Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2024: $2.94Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.20Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.85Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $12.07
Q4 2023: $-0.87Q1 2024: $-0.48Q2 2024: $-0.02Q3 2024: $3.17Q4 2024: $2.94Q1 2025: $3.50Q2 2025: $3.75Q3 2025: $3.86Q4 2025: $4.20Q1 2026: $4.30Q2 2026: $4.85Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $12.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.07+249%
Q3 2026$3.46-10%
Q2 2026$4.85+29%
Q1 2026$4.30+23%
Q4 2025$4.20+43%
Q3 2025$3.86+22%
Q2 2025$3.75+$3.77
Q1 2025$3.50+$3.98
Q4 2024$2.94+$3.81

RRX has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over RRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.4BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: $1.5BQ1 2026: $1.5BQ2 2026: $1.6BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+6.1%
Q2 2026$1.6B+4.2%
Q1 2026$1.5B+4.3%
Q4 2025$1.5B+4.3%
Q3 2025$1.5B+1.3%
Q2 2025$1.5B-3.3%
Q1 2025$1.4B-8.4%
Q4 2024$1.5B-9.1%

RRX's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $1.6B last quarter, up 6.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

RRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $493MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $154MQ3 2026: $194M
Q4 2023: $171MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $126MQ3 2024: $126MQ4 2024: $184MQ1 2025: $86MQ2 2025: $493MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $141MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $154MQ3 2026: $194M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$193.7M+11%
Q2 2026$154.2M-69%
Q1 2026-$2.5M-103%
Q4 2025$140.6M-24%
Q3 2025$174M+39%
Q2 2025$493M+292%
Q1 2025$85.5M+32%
Q4 2024$183.9M+7.6%

RRX has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

RRX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
Q4 2023: 66MQ1 2024: 67MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 67MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 67MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 67MQ2 2026: 67MQ3 2026: 67M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-300K shares
1 year0%--
3 years+0.5%+300K shares
5 years+62%+25.6M shares
Available history+62%+25.5M shares

RRX has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RRX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 6.7xQ1 2024: 5.9xQ2 2024: 5.2xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 4.3xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 3.7xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20263.7xElevated
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20254.0xElevated
Q1 20254.3xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

RRX's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.8 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic43.2Neutral

RRX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RRX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRRXSector medianRelative
PE52x24x117% above
PE %975839 pts above

RRX is trading at 52x earnings, a 117% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

RRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$161.212% above
20 week MA$174.93.2% above
50 week MA$183.11.4% below
100 week MA$160.912% above
200 week MA$155.416% above

RRX has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

RRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$85.4$120.2+41%
2021$120.2$165.2+37%
2022$165.2$118.6-28%
2023$118.6$148.0+25%
2024$148.0$156.5+5.7%
2025$156.5$145.2-7.2%
2026 YTD$145.2$180.5+24%

RRX has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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