RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ROK

Rockwell Automation, Inc.

72
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential76/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

ROK has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Healthy

ROK's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x29x43x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$303-25%
Forward27x$404—
Fair32x$396-2.1%
Current32x$404—
Expensive41x$512+27%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROK's PE is in its fair range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

ROK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ROK, with profitability improving.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails ROK on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$535.98
Downside-11%$361.46

Calculated from the latest close: $404.20 on Nov 12.

ROK has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ROK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $10.50Q1 2024: $10.22Q2 2024: $8.79Q3 2024: $8.28Q4 2024: $8.03Q1 2025: $7.94Q2 2025: $8.52Q3 2025: $7.67Q4 2025: $8.75Q1 2026: $9.63Q2 2026: $10.68Q3 2026: $12.54Forward: $15.03
Q4 2023: $10.50Q1 2024: $10.22Q2 2024: $8.79Q3 2024: $8.28Q4 2024: $8.03Q1 2025: $7.94Q2 2025: $8.52Q3 2025: $7.67Q4 2025: $8.75Q1 2026: $9.63Q2 2026: $10.68Q3 2026: $12.54Forward: $15.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$15.03+20%
Q3 2026$12.54+63%
Q2 2026$10.68+25%
Q1 2026$9.63+21%
Q4 2025$8.75+9%
Q3 2025$7.67-7.4%
Q2 2025$8.52-3.1%
Q1 2025$7.94-22%
Q4 2024$8.03-24%

ROK has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ROK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ROK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $2BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.1BQ3 2025: $2.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: $2.2BQ2 2026: $2.3BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+0.7%
Q2 2026$2.3B+7.9%
Q1 2026$2.2B+12%
Q4 2025$2.1B+12%
Q3 2025$2.3B+14%
Q2 2025$2.1B+4.6%
Q1 2025$2B-5.9%
Q4 2024$1.9B-8.3%

ROK's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $2.3B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ROK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $367MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $489MQ3 2025: $405MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: $275MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $602M
Q4 2023: −$35MQ1 2024: $69MQ2 2024: $238MQ3 2024: $367MQ4 2024: $293MQ1 2025: $171MQ2 2025: $489MQ3 2025: $405MQ4 2025: $170MQ1 2026: $275MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $602M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$602M+49%
Q2 2026$654M+34%
Q1 2026$275M+61%
Q4 2025$170M-42%
Q3 2025$405M+10%
Q2 2025$489M+105%
Q1 2025$171M+149%
Q4 2024$293M+$328.3M

ROK has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ROK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 112M
Q4 2023: 115MQ1 2024: 115MQ2 2024: 114MQ3 2024: 115MQ4 2024: 114MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 113MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 112M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+400K shares
1 year-1%-1.1M shares
3 years-3.1%-3.6M shares
5 years-4.4%-5.1M shares
Available history-3.9%-4.6M shares

ROK has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.2xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 1.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.9xHealthy
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.2xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

ROK's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.2 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ROK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.2Neutral
Stochastic25.8Neutral

ROK's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricROKSector medianRelative
PE32x24x34% above
PE %52586 pts below

ROK is trading at 32x earnings, a 34% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ROK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$423.74.6% below
20 week MA$438.77.9% below
50 week MA$422.94.4% below
100 week MA$368.29.8% above
200 week MA$326.124% above

ROK has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over ROK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ROK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$203.0$248.6+22%
2021$248.6$340.1+37%
2022$340.1$256.7-25%
2023$256.7$310.5+21%
2024$310.5$290.5-6.4%
2025$290.5$399.8+38%
2026 YTD$399.8$404.2+1.1%

ROK has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 1.1% so far in 2026.

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