RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over ROCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ROCK

Gibraltar Industries, Inc.

43
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

ROCK has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROCK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Weak

ROCK's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROCK PE Valuation

ROCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over ROCK on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

ROCK Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Decline
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ROCK's revenue to grow, but its earnings and profitability to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ROCK, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROCK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$44.20
Downside-30%$21.67

Calculated from the latest close: $30.89 on Nov 12.

ROCK trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ROCK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.59Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.77Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $4.46Q1 2025: $4.34Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $-4.43Q2 2026: $-5.02Q3 2026: $-1.65Forward: $3.14
Q4 2023: $3.59Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.77Q3 2024: $3.60Q4 2024: $4.46Q1 2025: $4.34Q2 2025: $4.16Q3 2025: $0.07Q4 2025: $-1.48Q1 2026: $-4.43Q2 2026: $-5.02Q3 2026: $-1.65Forward: $3.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.14—
Q3 2026-$1.65-2457%
Q2 2026-$5.02-221%
Q1 2026-$4.43-202%
Q4 2025-$1.48-133%
Q3 2025$0.07-98%
Q2 2025$4.16+10%
Q1 2025$4.34+17%
Q4 2024$4.46+24%

ROCK has swung to a loss: it lost $1.65 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over ROCK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ROCK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $293MQ2 2024: $353MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $356MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: $329MQ1 2024: $293MQ2 2024: $353MQ3 2024: $361MQ4 2024: $302MQ1 2025: $290MQ2 2025: $310MQ3 2025: $311MQ4 2025: $269MQ1 2026: $356MQ2 2026: $510MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$479.6M+54%
Q2 2026$509.5M+65%
Q1 2026$356.3M+23%
Q4 2025$268.7M-11%
Q3 2025$310.9M-14%
Q2 2025$309.5M-12%
Q1 2025$290M-0.9%
Q4 2024$302.1M-8.1%

ROCK's revenue is growing: $480M last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ROCK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$3M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $59MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $27MQ3 2025: $65MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.1M-105%
Q2 2026-$1.4M-105%
Q1 2026-$47.2M-2193%
Q4 2025$26.2M+90%
Q3 2025$64.8M+9.7%
Q2 2025$27.3M-15%
Q1 2025$2.3M-95%
Q4 2024$13.8M+187%

ROCK has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ROCK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 31MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 31MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+97K shares
1 year+0.1%+43K shares
3 years-2.6%-809K shares
5 years-9.5%-3.1M shares
Available history-8.6%-2.8M shares

ROCK has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROCK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 9.3xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: -0.6xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -1.0xQ3 2024: -1.3xQ4 2024: -1.6xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.6xQ4 2025: -0.8xQ1 2026: 9.3xQ2 2026: 7.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20267.6xHigh
Q1 20269.3xHigh
Q4 2025-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash

ROCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ROCK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic13.0Oversold

ROCK's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROCK PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricROCKSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ROCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ROCK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.217% below
20 week MA$42.026% below
50 week MA$43.729% below
100 week MA$52.141% below
200 week MA$59.648% below

ROCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 48% below its 200-week average.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over ROCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ROCK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.6$71.7+42%
2021$71.7$66.8-6.9%
2022$66.8$45.7-32%
2023$45.7$79.0+73%
2024$79.0$59.2-25%
2025$59.2$50.8-14%
2026 YTD$50.8$30.9-39%

ROCK has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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