RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

ROAD

Construction Partners, Inc.

68
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation85/ 100
Upside potential70/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

ROAD has the edge over RDW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ROAD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure

ROAD's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROAD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x78x104x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$81.02—
Current32x$81.02—
Cheap35x$88.40+9.1%
Fair58x$149+84%
Expensive79x$202+150%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ROAD's PE is in its cheap range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over ROAD on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ROAD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ROAD, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails ROAD on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ROAD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$120.38
Downside-21%$63.92

Calculated from the latest close: $81.02 on Nov 12.

ROAD has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

ROAD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.94Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.36Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.06Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.36Q3 2025: $1.84Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.29Q2 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.19
Q3 2023: $0.94Q4 2023: $1.09Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.36Q3 2024: $1.31Q4 2024: $1.06Q1 2025: $1.16Q2 2025: $1.36Q3 2025: $1.84Q4 2025: $2.21Q1 2026: $2.29Q2 2026: $2.56Forward: $3.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.19+25%
Q2 2026$2.56+88%
Q1 2026$2.29+97%
Q4 2025$2.21+108%
Q3 2025$1.84+40%
Q2 2025$1.360%
Q1 2025$1.16-1.7%
Q4 2024$1.06-2.8%
Q3 2024$1.31+39%

ROAD has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

ROAD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $475MQ4 2023: $397MQ1 2024: $371MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $538MQ4 2024: $562MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $779MQ3 2025: $900MQ4 2025: $809MQ1 2026: $769MQ2 2026: $999M
Q3 2023: $475MQ4 2023: $397MQ1 2024: $371MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $538MQ4 2024: $562MQ1 2025: $572MQ2 2025: $779MQ3 2025: $900MQ4 2025: $809MQ1 2026: $769MQ2 2026: $999M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$999.4M+28%
Q1 2026$769.2M+35%
Q4 2025$809.5M+44%
Q3 2025$899.8M+67%
Q2 2025$779.3M+50%
Q1 2025$571.7M+54%
Q4 2024$561.6M+42%
Q3 2024$538.2M+13%

ROAD has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

ROAD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $44MQ4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $31M
Q3 2023: $44MQ4 2023: $34MQ1 2024: −$11MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $78MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $79MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$30.6M-34%
Q1 2026$18.9M+33%
Q4 2025$47.1M+241%
Q3 2025$78.9M+0.7%
Q2 2025$46.4M+135%
Q1 2025$14.2M+$24.8M
Q4 2024$13.8M-59%
Q3 2024$78.4M+79%

ROAD has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

ROAD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 52MQ4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56M
Q3 2023: 52MQ4 2023: 52MQ1 2024: 52MQ2 2024: 53MQ3 2024: 53MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 56MQ2 2025: 56MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 56MQ1 2026: 56MQ2 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+13.4K shares
1 year+1.1%+615K shares
3 years+7.6%+4M shares
5 years+8.5%+4.4M shares
Available history+9.4%+4.8M shares

ROAD has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ROAD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.1xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6x
Q3 2023: 2.1xQ4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.2xQ4 2024: 5.2xQ1 2025: 5.1xQ2 2025: 4.4xQ3 2025: 4.0xQ4 2025: 3.9xQ1 2026: 3.8xQ2 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.6xElevated
Q1 20263.8xElevated
Q4 20253.9xElevated
Q3 20254.0xElevated
Q2 20254.4xHigh
Q1 20255.1xHigh
Q4 20245.2xHigh
Q3 20242.2xModerate

ROAD's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.4 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

ROAD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.7Neutral
Stochastic14.2Oversold

ROAD's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ROAD PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricROADSector medianRelative
PE32x24x31% above
PE %145844 pts below

ROAD is trading at 32x earnings, a 31% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

ROAD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.75.4% below
20 week MA$98.117% below
50 week MA$109.826% below
100 week MA$104.422% below
200 week MA$75.96.8% above

ROAD has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over ROAD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ROAD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.0$27.6+63%
2021$27.6$29.3+6.2%
2022$29.3$26.9-8.4%
2023$26.9$43.5+62%
2024$43.5$89.9+106%
2025$89.9$113.1+26%
2026 YTD$113.1$81.0-28%

ROAD has finished higher in five of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's down 28% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key