RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

RJET

Republic Airways Holdings Inc.

64
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

RJET has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RJET Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

RJET's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RJET PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE4.6x9.2x14x18x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.8x$19.34-4.9%
Current4x$20.33—
Forward5.3x$20.33—
Fair6.7x$34.63+70%
Expensive11x$56.19+176%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RJET's PE is in its cheap range at 4.0x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 5.3x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

RJET Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect RJET's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RJET, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RJET Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$31.32
Downside-34%$13.42

Calculated from the latest close: $20.33 on Nov 12.

RJET trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

RJET Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-63.00Q1 2024: $-45.60Q2 2024: $-35.25Q3 2024: $-33.15Q4 2024: $-52.65Q1 2025: $-78.15Q2 2025: $-63.45Q3 2025: $-59.55Q4 2025: $-15.77Q1 2026: $6.11Q2 2026: $-0.71Q3 2026: $5.14Forward: $3.80
Q4 2023: $-63.00Q1 2024: $-45.60Q2 2024: $-35.25Q3 2024: $-33.15Q4 2024: $-52.65Q1 2025: $-78.15Q2 2025: $-63.45Q3 2025: $-59.55Q4 2025: $-15.77Q1 2026: $6.11Q2 2026: $-0.71Q3 2026: $5.14Forward: $3.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.80-26%
Q3 2026$5.14+$64.69
Q2 2026-$0.71+$62.74
Q1 2026$6.11+$84.26
Q4 2025-$15.77+$36.88
Q3 2025-$59.55-$26.40
Q2 2025-$63.45-$28.20
Q1 2025-$78.15-$32.55
Q4 2024-$52.65+$10.35

RJET has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

RJET Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $554M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: $132MQ2 2024: $111MQ3 2024: $115MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $91MQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $527MQ2 2026: $571MQ3 2026: $554M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$553.5M+510%
Q2 2026$571.1M+516%
Q1 2026$527.4M+457%
Q4 2025$1.1B+935%
Q3 2025$90.7M-21%
Q2 2025$92.8M-16%
Q1 2025$94.7M-28%
Q4 2024$103.2M-13%

RJET's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $554M last quarter, up 510% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RJET has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is down 23% versus its history, compared with RDW at down 154%.

RJET Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: −$35MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $50M
Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$25MQ2 2025: −$10MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: −$35MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $50M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$28.8M+$39.3M
Q1 2026-$35.3M-$10.7M
Q4 2025-$35.3M-$21.6M
Q2 2025-$10.5M-240%
Q1 2025-$24.6M-348%
Q4 2024-$13.6M+$1.1M
Q3 2024$11.2M+$26.5M
Q2 2024$7.5M+$19.8M

RJET's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $9M over the past year.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has the edge over RJET on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RJET Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 3MQ1 2024: 3MQ2 2024: 3MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 3MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 46MQ2 2026: 46MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+127K shares
1 year+1559%+43.5M shares
3 years+1660%+43.7M shares
5 years+1688%+43.7M shares
Available history+1874%+44M shares

RJET has 46M diluted shares, up 1559% from a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RJET Net Leverage

Q4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.4x
Q4 2025: 3.2xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 1.8xQ3 2026: 1.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.4xHealthy
Q2 20261.8xHealthy
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20253.2xElevated
Q2 202214.8xHigh
Q1 202210.3xHigh
Q4 20214.8xHigh
Q3 20213.6xElevated

RJET's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 15 years a year ago.

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

RJET Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.4Neutral
Stochastic65.5Neutral

RJET's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RJET PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRJETSector medianRelative
PE4x24x84% below
PE %225836 pts below

RJET is trading at 4.0x earnings, a 84% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

RJET Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.311% above
20 week MA$18.78.8% above
50 week MA$18.97.5% above
100 week MA$18.212% above
200 week MA$20.01.5% above

RJET has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over RJET on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RJET Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$137.1$94.4-31%
2021$94.4$86.4-8.4%
2022$86.4$16.7-81%
2023$16.7$15.2-9%
2024$15.2$19.7+30%
2025$19.7$19.7+0.4%
2026 YTD$19.7$20.3+3%

RJET has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 3% so far in 2026.

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