RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over RGR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
RGR
Sturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.
RGR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RGR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
RGR's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RGR PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.9x | $8.97 | -82% |
| Fair | 17x | $17.19 | -65% |
| Expensive | 31x | $31.06 | -37% |
| Current | 49x | $49.46 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
RGR's PE is in its expensive range at 49x.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
RGR Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for RGR to show an outlook.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
RGR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.01 | +677% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.75 | +142% |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.73 | -140% |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.28 | -116% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.13 | -92% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.31 | -83% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | -21% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.77 | -35% |
RGR has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
RGR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $147.6M | +16% |
| Q2 2026 | $158.1M | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $141.4M | +4.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $151.1M | +3.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $126.8M | +3.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $132.5M | +1.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $135.7M | -0.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $145.8M | +12% |
RGR's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $148M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4% | +6.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 4.8% | +21 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.4% | -7.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | -2.8% | -5.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | -16% | -23 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6.2% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 7.8% | -0.1 points |
RGR has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
RGR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$12.7M | -282% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.1M | +54% |
| Q1 2026 | $14M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.3M | -25% |
| Q3 2025 | $7M | +168% |
| Q2 2025 | $9.1M | -9.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $10M | +80% |
| Q4 2024 | $16.4M | +32% |
RGR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
RGR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +25.2K shares |
| 1 year | -0.4% | -70.2K shares |
| 3 years | -8.9% | -1.6M shares |
| 5 years | -8.3% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -8.3% | -1.5M shares |
RGR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $10M |
| Q2 2025 | $13.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $3M |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1M |
| Q3 2024 | $9.1M |
| Q2 2024 | $17.1M |
| Q1 2024 | $3.2M |
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RGR Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -40.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
RGR has more cash than debt.
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
RGR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 70.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 72.3 | Neutral |
RGR's weekly RSI is 70 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RGR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | RGR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 49x | 24x | 103% above |
| PE % | 87 | 58 | 29 pts above |
RGR is trading at 49x earnings, a 103% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
RGR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $45.4 | 9% above |
| 20 week MA | $41.0 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $39.3 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $38.2 | 30% above |
| 200 week MA | $42.9 | 15% above |
RGR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.
RGR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $46.6 | $67.2 | +44% |
| 2021 | $67.2 | $66.4 | -1.2% |
| 2022 | $66.4 | $51.6 | -22% |
| 2023 | $51.6 | $45.5 | -12% |
| 2024 | $45.5 | $34.7 | -24% |
| 2025 | $34.7 | $32.3 | -6.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $32.3 | $49.5 | +53% |
RGR has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.