RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

WDC

Western Digital Corporation

80
Fundamentals84/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential88/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

WDC has the edge over RDDT overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WDC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

WDC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over WDC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WDC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x69x103x138x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$255-18%
Forward11x$311—
Current12x$311—
Fair19x$487+56%
Expensive63x$1,618+420%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WDC's PE is in its cheap range at 12x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 11x next year's earnings.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

WDC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for WDC, with profitability improving.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails WDC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

WDC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+129%$712.82
Downside-18%$254.36

Calculated from the latest close: $311.21 on Nov 12.

WDC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

WDC has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus WDC up 276%.

WDC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
Q4 2023: $-7.22Q1 2024: $-5.06Q2 2024: $-2.61Q3 2024: $0.91Q4 2024: $3.47Q1 2025: $4.55Q2 2025: $5.15Q4 2025: $6.87Q1 2026: $9.97Q2 2026: $16.75Q3 2026: $24.28Q4 2026: $25.84Forward: $28.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$28.81+12%
Q3 2026$25.84+276%
Q2 2026$24.28+371%
Q1 2026$16.75+268%
Q4 2025$9.97+187%
Q3 2025$6.87+655%
Q2 2025$5.15+$7.76
Q1 2025$4.55+$9.61
Q4 2024$3.47+$10.69

WDC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $25.84 over the past year, about four times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over WDC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WDC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.5BQ2 2024: $3.8BQ3 2024: $4.1BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.7BQ4 2026: $4.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B+55%
Q2 2026$3.7B+44%
Q1 2026$3.3B+45%
Q4 2025$3B-30%
Q3 2025$2.8B-31%
Q2 2025$2.6B-31%
Q1 2025$2.3B-34%
Q4 2024$4.3B+41%

WDC's revenue is growing: $4.4B last quarter, up 55% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 135% from the year before.

WDC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: −$242MQ1 2024: −$39MQ2 2024: $250MQ3 2024: −$62MQ4 2024: $287MQ1 2025: $379MQ2 2025: $675MQ4 2025: $599MQ1 2026: $653MQ2 2026: $978MQ3 2026: $1.3BQ4 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B+130%
Q2 2026$1.3B+90%
Q1 2026$978M+158%
Q4 2025$653M+128%
Q3 2025$599M+$661M
Q2 2025$675M+170%
Q1 2025$379M+$418M
Q4 2024$287M+$529M

WDC generated $4.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 121% from the year before.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over WDC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WDC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
Q4 2023: 325MQ1 2024: 335MQ2 2024: 326MQ3 2024: 357MQ4 2024: 357MQ1 2025: 358MQ2 2025: 359MQ4 2025: 376MQ1 2026: 381MQ2 2026: 387MQ3 2026: 383MQ4 2026: 384M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+1M shares
1 year+2.1%+8M shares
3 years+19%+61M shares
5 years+22%+68M shares
Available history+29%+86M shares

WDC has 384M diluted shares, up 2.1% from a year ago, despite $3B in buybacks over the past year.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over WDC on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WDC Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2024: 22.1xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 1.9xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1xQ4 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.8xVery low
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.9xHealthy

WDC has more cash than debt.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

WDC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic11.2Oversold

WDC's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

WDC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricWDCSector medianRelative
PE12x28x57% below
PE %28357 pts below

WDC has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

WDC has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus WDC above 2 of 5.

WDC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$360.814% below
20 week MA$438.429% below
50 week MA$380.418% below
100 week MA$226.837% above
200 week MA$133.7133% above

WDC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

WDC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.0$37.7-20%
2021$37.7$46.2+23%
2022$46.2$23.1-50%
2023$23.1$39.6+71%
2024$39.6$45.9+16%
2025$45.9$181.5+296%
2026 YTD$181.5$311.2+71%

WDC has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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