RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over WB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

WB

Weibo Corporation

49
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

WB has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

WB's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over WB in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

WB PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x79x105x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x52x79x105x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current5.1x$6.12—
Cheap5.7x$6.83+12%
Fair14x$16.28+166%
Expensive35x$41.18+573%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

WB's PE is in its cheap range at 5.1x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over WB on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

WB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect WB's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$7.99
Downside-27%$4.47

Calculated from the latest close: $6.12 on Nov 12.

WB trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

WB has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus WB down 15%.

WB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.67Q4 2024: $1.14Q1 2025: $1.35Q2 2025: $1.40Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.19
Q3 2023: $1.67Q4 2024: $1.14Q1 2025: $1.35Q2 2025: $1.40Q3 2025: $1.73Q4 2025: $1.67Q1 2026: $1.41Q2 2026: $1.19
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$1.19-15%
Q1 2026$1.41+4.4%
Q4 2025$1.67+46%
Q3 2023$1.67+596%
Q2 2023$1.28+17%
Q1 2023$1.06-20%
Q4 2022$0.33-82%
Q3 2022$0.24-84%

WB's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.19 over the past year, against $2.49 in late 2019. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over WB on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $442MQ4 2023: $464MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $397MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $443MQ4 2025: $475MQ1 2026: $421MQ2 2026: $455M
Q3 2023: $442MQ4 2023: $464MQ1 2024: $395MQ2 2024: $438MQ3 2024: $464MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $397MQ2 2025: $445MQ3 2025: $443MQ4 2025: $475MQ1 2026: $421MQ2 2026: $455M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$454.6M+2.2%
Q1 2026$421.3M+6.2%
Q4 2025$475.3M+4%
Q3 2025$442.9M-4.6%
Q2 2025$444.8M+1.6%
Q1 2025$396.9M+0.3%
Q4 2024$456.8M-1.5%
Q3 2024$464.5M+5.1%

WB's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $455M last quarter, up 2.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over WB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

WB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $211MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0$0
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0-100%
Q3 2024$0$0

WB's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over WB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 264MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 238MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 270MQ2 2026: 272M
Q3 2023: 239MQ1 2024: 264MQ2 2024: 265MQ3 2024: 266MQ4 2024: 238MQ1 2025: 266MQ2 2025: 268MQ3 2025: 269MQ4 2025: 239MQ1 2026: 270MQ2 2026: 272M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+1.4M shares
1 year+1.2%+3.2M shares
3 years+15%+34.7M shares
5 years+18%+42.2M shares
Available history+16%+38.4M shares

WB has 272M diluted shares, up 1.2% from a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over WB on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

WB Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4x
Q3 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: 1.0xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 0.0xQ1 2025: 1.1xQ2 2025: 1.1xQ3 2025: 1.0xQ4 2025: -0.6xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 2025-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 20251.0xHealthy
Q2 20251.1xHealthy
Q1 20251.1xHealthy
Q4 20240.0xVery low
Q3 20241.2xHealthy

WB's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.1 years a year ago.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

WB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.5Neutral
Stochastic8.8Oversold

WB's weekly RSI is 30 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

WB PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricWBSector medianRelative
PE5.1x16x69% below
PE %62620 pts below

WB has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

WB has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus WB above 0 of 5.

WB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.363.8% below
20 week MA$6.9612% below
50 week MA$8.3126% below
100 week MA$9.2134% below
200 week MA$10.542% below

WB is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

WB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$47.1$44.3-5.9%
2021$44.3$29.8-33%
2022$29.8$17.9-40%
2023$17.9$11.0-39%
2024$11.0$9.78-11%
2025$9.78$10.1+3.7%
2026 YTD$10.1$6.12-40%

WB has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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