RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TWLO

Twilio Inc.

76
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential74/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

TWLO has the edge over RDDT overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TWLO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TWLO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

TWLO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE293x585x878x1171x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE293x585x878x1171x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current27x$212—
Forward32x$212—
Cheap36x$287+35%
Fair326x$2,598+1124%
Expensive920x$7,334+3356%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TWLO has the edge over RDDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

TWLO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TWLO, with profitability improving.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT trails TWLO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TWLO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$345.09
Downside-22%$165.65

Calculated from the latest close: $212.21 on Nov 12.

TWLO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDDT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

TWLO has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus TWLO up 1,944%.

TWLO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.54Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.29Q3 2024: $-2.57Q4 2024: $-0.66Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.66Q2 2026: $7.20Q3 2026: $7.97Forward: $6.60
Q4 2023: $-5.54Q1 2024: $-4.01Q2 2024: $-3.29Q3 2024: $-2.57Q4 2024: $-0.66Q1 2025: $-0.23Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.39Q4 2025: $0.21Q1 2026: $0.66Q2 2026: $7.20Q3 2026: $7.97Forward: $6.60
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.60-17%
Q3 2026$7.97+1944%
Q2 2026$7.20+7100%
Q1 2026$0.66+$0.89
Q4 2025$0.21+$0.87
Q3 2025$0.39+$2.96
Q2 2025$0.10+$3.39
Q1 2025-$0.23+$3.78
Q4 2024-$0.66+$4.88

TWLO's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.97 over the past year, more than ten times what it earned the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TWLO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.1BQ1 2024: $1BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+20%
Q2 2026$1.5B+22%
Q1 2026$1.4B+20%
Q4 2025$1.4B+14%
Q3 2025$1.3B+15%
Q2 2025$1.2B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+12%
Q4 2024$1.2B+11%

TWLO's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.6B last quarter, up 20% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TWLO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $190MQ2 2024: $213MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $277MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $372MQ3 2026: $389M
Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $190MQ2 2024: $213MQ3 2024: $204MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $191MQ2 2025: $277MQ3 2025: $264MQ4 2025: $272MQ1 2026: $153MQ2 2026: $372MQ3 2026: $389M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$389.2M+48%
Q2 2026$372.4M+34%
Q1 2026$153.2M-20%
Q4 2025$271.6M+150%
Q3 2025$263.6M+29%
Q2 2025$277.1M+30%
Q1 2025$191M+0.5%
Q4 2024$108.4M-51%

TWLO generated $1.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 41% from the year before.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TWLO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 183MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 159MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 159MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 158MQ2 2026: 160MQ3 2026: 162M
Q4 2023: 183MQ1 2024: 181MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 159MQ4 2024: 166MQ1 2025: 162MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 159MQ4 2025: 160MQ1 2026: 158MQ2 2026: 160MQ3 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+2M shares
1 year+1.6%+2.5M shares
3 years-11%-20M shares
5 years-8.7%-15.5M shares
Available history+24%+31.7M shares

TWLO has 162M diluted shares, up 1.6% from a year ago, despite $647M in buybacks over the past year.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TWLO Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 0.1xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.1xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20261.1xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.1xVery low
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20243.7xElevated

TWLO has more cash than debt.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TWLO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic20.6Neutral

TWLO's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT has the edge over TWLO on valuation relative to its sector.

TWLO PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricTWLOSector medianRelative
PE27x16x61% above
PE %32623 pts below

TWLO is trading at 27x earnings, a 61% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

TWLO has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus TWLO above 3 of 5.

TWLO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$248.214% below
20 week MA$232.68.8% below
50 week MA$181.917% above
100 week MA$147.444% above
200 week MA$106.1100% above

TWLO has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 100% above its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

TWLO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$100.4$362.9+261%
2021$362.9$267.2-26%
2022$267.2$44.8-83%
2023$44.8$75.9+70%
2024$75.9$109.3+44%
2025$109.3$140.5+29%
2026 YTD$140.5$212.2+51%

TWLO has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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