RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over SPHR overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

SPHR

Sphere Entertainment Co.

64
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

SPHR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SPHR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Strong
Under pressure

SPHR's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SPHR PE Valuation

SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over SPHR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

SPHR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SPHR's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SPHR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SPHR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+41%$174.13
Downside-29%$87.81

Calculated from the latest close: $123.66 on Nov 12.

SPHR trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus SPHR down 168%.

SPHR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.61Q1 2024: $11.04Q2 2024: $-5.68Q3 2024: $-10.52Q4 2024: $-9.10Q1 2025: $-10.04Q2 2025: $-5.32Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-3.53
Q4 2023: $11.61Q1 2024: $11.04Q2 2024: $-5.68Q3 2024: $-10.52Q4 2024: $-9.10Q1 2025: $-10.04Q2 2025: $-5.32Q3 2025: $-5.17Q4 2025: $0.74Q1 2026: $2.97Q2 2026: $-1.49Q3 2026: $-3.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.53+$1.64
Q2 2026-$1.49+$3.83
Q1 2026$2.97+$13.01
Q4 2025$0.74+$9.84
Q3 2025-$5.17+$5.35
Q2 2025-$5.32+$0.36
Q1 2025-$10.04-191%
Q4 2024-$9.10-178%

SPHR is still losing money, but far less than before: $3.53 per share over the past year, against $10.52 at its worst in late 2024.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over SPHR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPHR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $314MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $273MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $263MQ4 2025: $394MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $274M
Q4 2023: $314MQ1 2024: $321MQ2 2024: $273MQ3 2024: $228MQ4 2024: $308MQ1 2025: $281MQ2 2025: $283MQ3 2025: $263MQ4 2025: $394MQ1 2026: $386MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $274M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$274.3M+4.5%
Q2 2026$313.6M+11%
Q1 2026$386.4M+38%
Q4 2025$394.3M+28%
Q3 2025$262.5M+15%
Q2 2025$282.7M+3.4%
Q1 2025$280.6M-13%
Q4 2024$308.3M-1.9%

SPHR's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $274M last quarter, up 4.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over SPHR on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SPHR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: −$72MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: $57M
Q4 2023: $46MQ1 2024: $101MQ2 2024: −$72MQ3 2024: $34MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: −$59MQ3 2025: $116MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $136MQ2 2026: −$34MQ3 2026: $57M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$56.9M-51%
Q2 2026-$33.7M+$25.4M
Q1 2026$136.2M+2046%
Q4 2025$180.2M+614%
Q3 2025$115.8M+240%
Q2 2025-$59.1M+$13.4M
Q1 2025$6.3M-94%
Q4 2024$25.3M-46%

SPHR generated $340M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has 202M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

SPHR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 35MQ1 2024: 35MQ2 2024: 35MQ3 2024: 36MQ4 2024: 36MQ1 2025: 36MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+186K shares
1 year-19%-8.5M shares
3 years+4%+1.4M shares
5 years-30%-15.9M shares

SPHR has the edge over RDDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over SPHR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SPHR Net Leverage

Q1 2025: 8.2xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 3.4x
Q1 2025: 8.2xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 0.9xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.4xElevated
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20260.9xVery low
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20258.2xHigh
Q4 202215.9xHigh

SPHR's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SPHR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic23.2Neutral

SPHR's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

SPHR PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSPHRSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

SPHR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

SPHR has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus SPHR above 3 of 5.

SPHR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$117.65.1% above
20 week MA$136.79.5% below
50 week MA$125.41.4% below
100 week MA$85.644% above
200 week MA$60.9103% above

SPHR's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 103% above its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

SPHR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.9$40.7-0.3%
2021$40.7$32.8-19%
2022$32.8$19.9-39%
2023$19.9$34.0+71%
2024$34.0$38.1+12%
2025$38.1$93.4+145%
2026 YTD$93.4$123.7+32%

SPHR has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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