RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over SMWB overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

SMWB

Similarweb Ltd.

60
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMWB has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SMWB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Strong

SMWB's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT's PE is 20x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

SMWB PE Valuation

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for RDDT, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMWB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for SMWB, with profitability improving.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMWB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMWB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+68%$13.40
Downside-40%$4.79

Calculated from the latest close: $7.96 on Nov 12.

SMWB trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

RDDT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus SMWB down 171%.

SMWB Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
Q3 2023: $-0.53Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.26Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.12Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.22Q2 2025: $-0.35Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.39Q1 2026: $-0.35Q2 2026: $-0.25Forward: $0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.29—
Q2 2026-$0.25+$0.10
Q1 2026-$0.35-$0.13
Q4 2025-$0.39-$0.25
Q3 2025-$0.37-$0.25
Q2 2025-$0.35-$0.20
Q1 2025-$0.22+$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.14+$0.24
Q3 2024-$0.12+$0.41

SMWB is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.25 per share over the past year, against $1.23 at its worst in late 2022.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over SMWB on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMWB Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
Q3 2023: $55MQ4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $65MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $67MQ2 2025: $71MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $73MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $77M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$77.2M+8.8%
Q1 2026$73.9M+10%
Q4 2025$72.8M+11%
Q3 2025$71.8M+11%
Q2 2025$71M+17%
Q1 2025$67.1M+14%
Q4 2024$65.6M+16%
Q3 2024$64.7M+18%

SMWB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $77M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over SMWB on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMWB Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: −$5MQ4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: $10MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: −$71,000Q2 2026: $9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$8.8M+232%
Q1 2026-$71K-102%
Q4 2025$3M+12%
Q3 2025$3M-66%
Q2 2025$2.7M-58%
Q1 2025$4.4M-55%
Q4 2024$2.7M-24%
Q3 2024$8.7M+$13.7M

SMWB still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $15M over the past year.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over SMWB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMWB Total Shares

Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
Q3 2023: 78MQ4 2023: 78MQ1 2024: 79MQ2 2024: 81MQ3 2024: 81MQ4 2024: 82MQ1 2025: 83MQ2 2025: 84MQ3 2025: 85MQ4 2025: 87MQ1 2026: 87MQ2 2026: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+619K shares
1 year+4.6%+3.9M shares
3 years+13%+10.3M shares
5 years+18%+13.5M shares
Available history+33%+21.8M shares

SMWB has 88M diluted shares, up 4.6% from a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has more cash than debt.

SMWB Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
Q2 2024: -11.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -42.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-42.9xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-11.6xNet Cash

SMWB has more cash than debt.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SMWB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.9Neutral
Stochastic52.0Neutral

SMWB's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

SMWB PE vs Communication Services Sector

SMWB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

SMWB has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus SMWB above 4 of 5.

SMWB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.344.6% below
20 week MA$7.940.3% above
50 week MA$5.8237% above
100 week MA$7.673.8% above
200 week MA$7.437.1% above

SMWB's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 7.1% above its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

SMWB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$21.3$18.3-14%
2022$18.3$5.30-71%
2023$5.30$5.33+0.6%
2024$5.33$14.4+170%
2025$14.4$7.14-50%
2026 YTD$7.14$7.96+11%

SMWB has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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