RDDT

Reddit, Inc.

70
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

RDDT has the edge over SBGI overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SBGI

Sinclair, Inc.

49
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation33/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

SBGI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

RDDT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SBGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Weak

SBGI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE16x33x49x65x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$99.55—
Current20x$99.55—
Cheap35x$171+72%
Fair46x$228+129%
Expensive53x$262+163%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RDDT has the edge over SBGI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SBGI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x23x34x46x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap0.7x$0.96-93%
Fair7.3x$10.58-27%
Current10x$14.58—
Expensive15x$22.12+52%
Forward37x$14.58—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SBGI's PE is in its fair range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 37x, in its expensive range.

RDDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

RDDT has the edge over SBGI on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and revenue expectations.

SBGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect SBGI to return to profit, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+77%$175.99
Downside-41%$58.49

Calculated from the latest close: $99.55 on Nov 12.

RDDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SBGI, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SBGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$19.88
Downside-27%$10.69

Calculated from the latest close: $14.58 on Nov 12.

SBGI trails RDDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDDT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
Q4 2023: $-0.56Q1 2024: $-8.38Q2 2024: $-8.19Q3 2024: $-7.98Q4 2025: $2.62Q1 2026: $3.50Q2 2026: $4.30Q3 2026: $4.90Forward: $6.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.32+29%
Q3 2024-$7.98-$7.17
Q2 2024-$8.19-$7.15
Q1 2024-$8.38-$7.25
Q4 2023-$0.56+$0.41
Q3 2023-$0.81-$0.02
Q2 2023-$1.04-$0.48
Q1 2023-$1.13-$0.48
Q4 2022-$0.97-$0.19

SBGI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 39% for RDDT versus SBGI up 144%.

SBGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
Q4 2023: $-4.85Q1 2024: $-7.15Q2 2024: $-5.50Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $4.69Q1 2025: $2.04Q2 2025: $0.86Q3 2025: $-0.59Q4 2025: $-1.61Q1 2026: $0.97Q2 2026: $0.82Q3 2026: $1.44Forward: $0.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.39-73%
Q3 2026$1.44+$2.03
Q2 2026$0.82-4.7%
Q1 2026$0.97-52%
Q4 2025-$1.61-134%
Q3 2025-$0.59+$2.74
Q2 2025$0.86+$6.36
Q1 2025$2.04+$9.19
Q4 2024$4.69+$9.54

SBGI has returned to profit: it earned $1.44 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

RDDT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
Q4 2023: $250MQ1 2024: $243MQ2 2024: $281MQ3 2024: $348MQ4 2024: $428MQ1 2025: $392MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: $585MQ4 2025: $726MQ1 2026: $663MQ2 2026: $805MQ3 2026: $895M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$895M+53%
Q2 2026$804.9M+61%
Q1 2026$663.4M+69%
Q4 2025$725.6M+70%
Q3 2025$584.9M+68%
Q2 2025$499.6M+78%
Q1 2025$392.4M+61%
Q4 2024$427.7M+71%

RDDT has the edge over SBGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
Q4 2023: $826MQ1 2024: $798MQ2 2024: $829MQ3 2024: $917MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $776MQ2 2025: $784MQ3 2025: $773MQ4 2025: $836MQ1 2026: $807MQ2 2026: $840MQ3 2026: $893M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$893M+16%
Q2 2026$840M+7.1%
Q1 2026$807M+4%
Q4 2025$836M-17%
Q3 2025$773M-16%
Q2 2025$784M-5.4%
Q1 2025$776M-2.8%
Q4 2024$1B+22%

SBGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2019 peak: $893M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDDT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $29MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $70MQ4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $127MQ2 2025: $111MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $264MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $261MQ3 2026: $363M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$362.6M+98%
Q2 2026$260.7M+135%
Q1 2026$311.2M+146%
Q4 2025$263.6M+196%
Q3 2025$183.1M+161%
Q2 2025$110.8M+308%
Q1 2025$126.6M+333%
Q4 2024$89.2M+$111.2M

RDDT has the edge over SBGI on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SBGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $70MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$329MQ3 2024: $193MQ4 2024: $175MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: $105MQ3 2025: −$58MQ4 2025: $79MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $46MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$109M+$167M
Q2 2026$46M-56%
Q1 2026$28M+$39M
Q4 2025$79M-55%
Q3 2025-$58M-130%
Q2 2025$105M+$434M
Q1 2025-$11M+$14M
Q4 2024$175M+150%

SBGI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $262M over the past year.

RDDT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
Q4 2023: 163MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 164MQ3 2024: 192MQ1 2025: 201MQ2 2025: 200MQ3 2025: 203MQ4 2025: 202MQ1 2026: 203MQ2 2026: 202MQ3 2026: 202M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-169K shares
1 year-0.4%-868K shares
3 years+24%+38.5M shares
5 years+24%+38.5M shares

RDDT has the edge over SBGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SBGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 67MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 70MQ4 2025: 69MQ1 2026: 71MQ2 2026: 72MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+305K shares
1 year+4%+2.8M shares
3 years+14%+9.1M shares
5 years-4%-3.1M shares
Available history-22%-20.5M shares

SBGI has 72M diluted shares, up 4% from a year ago.

RDDT Net Leverage

Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2025: -13.1xQ2 2025: -5.0xQ3 2025: -3.3xQ4 2025: -2.1xQ1 2026: -2.2xQ2 2026: -1.9xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-13.1xNet Cash

RDDT has the edge over SBGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

SBGI Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
Q2 2024: 235.3xQ3 2024: 23.2xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.8xQ3 2025: 5.9xQ4 2025: 8.3xQ1 2026: 8.1xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 6.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.1xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.1xHigh
Q4 20258.3xHigh
Q3 20255.9xHigh
Q2 20254.8xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.3xHigh

SBGI's net debt is about 6.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RDDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.8Neutral
Stochastic6.5Oversold

RDDT's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

SBGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.7Neutral
Stochastic43.1Neutral

SBGI's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 43 (neutral).

RDDT PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricRDDTSector medianRelative
PE20x16x23% above
PE %52318 pts below

RDDT is trading at 20x earnings, a 23% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x, though its earnings don't support one.

SBGI PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricSBGISector medianRelative
PE10x16x39% below
PE %542628 pts above

SBGI has the edge over RDDT on valuation relative to its sector.

RDDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$130.624% below
20 week MA$151.734% below
50 week MA$165.040% below
100 week MA$167.140% below

SBGI has stronger trend alignment. RDDT is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus SBGI above 5 of 5.

SBGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.012% above
20 week MA$13.76.7% above
50 week MA$14.22.4% above
100 week MA$14.41.1% above
200 week MA$14.50.6% above

SBGI has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 0.6% above its 200-week average.

RDDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$46.0$173.5+277%
2025$173.5$225.8+30%
2026 YTD$225.8$99.6-56%

RDDT has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 56% so far in 2026.

SBGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.7$31.3-7.2%
2021$31.3$26.6-15%
2022$26.6$15.3-42%
2023$15.3$13.0-15%
2024$13.0$15.8+21%
2025$15.8$15.3-3.5%
2026 YTD$15.3$14.6-4.5%

SBGI has the edge over RDDT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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