RCEL

AVITA Medical, Inc.

60
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RCEL offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over RCEL overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RCEL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RCEL's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

RCEL PE Valuation

RCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RCEL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RCEL has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RCEL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+89%$30.55
Downside-46%$8.69

Calculated from the latest close: $16.20 on Nov 12.

RCEL trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RCEL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RCEL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-1.95Q3 2024: $-2.23Q4 2024: $-2.39Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-1.97Q3 2025: $-1.81Q4 2025: $-1.74Q1 2026: $-1.56Q2 2026: $-1.43Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.76Q2 2024: $-1.95Q3 2024: $-2.23Q4 2024: $-2.39Q1 2025: $-2.19Q2 2025: $-1.97Q3 2025: $-1.81Q4 2025: $-1.74Q1 2026: $-1.56Q2 2026: $-1.43Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$0.64
Q2 2026-$1.43+$0.54
Q1 2026-$1.56+$0.63
Q4 2025-$1.74+$0.65
Q3 2025-$1.81+$0.42
Q2 2025-$1.97-$0.02
Q1 2025-$2.19-$0.43
Q4 2024-$2.39-$0.99

RCEL is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $2.39 at its worst in late 2024.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH has the edge over RCEL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RCEL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $15MQ3 2024: $20MQ4 2024: $18MQ1 2025: $19MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $17MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $22MQ3 2026: $26M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.1M+53%
Q2 2026$21.7M+18%
Q1 2026$19.3M+4%
Q4 2025$17.6M-4.3%
Q3 2025$17.1M-13%
Q2 2025$18.4M+21%
Q1 2025$18.5M+67%
Q4 2024$18.4M+30%

RCEL's revenue is growing: $26M last quarter, up 53% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

RCEL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$821,000
Q4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$11MQ4 2024: −$10MQ1 2025: −$11MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$6MQ4 2025: −$5MQ1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: −$821,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$821K+$5.3M
Q2 2026-$3.6M+$7.1M
Q1 2026-$10.1M+$439K
Q4 2025-$4.8M+$4.9M
Q3 2025-$6.2M+$4.8M
Q2 2025-$10.8M+$4.7M
Q1 2025-$10.5M+$11.5M
Q4 2024-$9.7M+$1.5M

RCEL has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$19M over the past year, against −$37M the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over RCEL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RCEL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
Q4 2023: 25MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ4 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 26MQ3 2025: 28MQ4 2025: 28MQ1 2026: 31MQ2 2026: 31MQ3 2026: 31M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+116K shares
1 year+8.7%+2.5M shares
3 years+22%+5.5M shares
5 years+24%+6M shares
Available history+65%+12.1M shares

RCEL has 31M diluted shares, up 8.7% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over RCEL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RCEL Net Leverage

RCEL's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RCEL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI79.9Overbought
Stochastic86.4Overbought

RCEL's weekly RSI is 80 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

RCEL PE vs Healthcare Sector

RCEL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH is trading at 23x earnings, a 11% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

RCEL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$14.413% above
20 week MA$10.357% above
50 week MA$6.62145% above
100 week MA$6.74140% above
200 week MA$9.7366% above

RCEL has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

RCEL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.7$19.0-58%
2021$19.0$12.6-34%
2022$12.6$6.76-46%
2023$6.76$13.7+103%
2024$13.7$13.5-1.7%
2025$13.5$3.44-74%
2026 YTD$3.44$16.2+371%

RCEL has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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