R

Ryder System, Inc.

53
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation24/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

R has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has a slight edge over R overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

R Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

R's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

R PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$77.14-72%
Fair13x$173-38%
Forward16x$279—
Expensive19x$252-9.8%
Current21x$279—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

R's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

R Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for R, with profitability improving.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

R Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$350.72
Downside-16%$235.31

Calculated from the latest close: $279.04 on Nov 12.

R trails RKLB on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB has a better modeled risk to reward balance than R, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

R Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $7.68Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $10.69Q4 2024: $11.06Q1 2025: $11.44Q2 2025: $11.73Q3 2025: $11.81Q4 2025: $11.94Q1 2026: $12.00Q2 2026: $12.26Q3 2026: $13.09Forward: $17.51
Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $7.68Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $10.69Q4 2024: $11.06Q1 2025: $11.44Q2 2025: $11.73Q3 2025: $11.81Q4 2025: $11.94Q1 2026: $12.00Q2 2026: $12.26Q3 2026: $13.09Forward: $17.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.51+34%
Q3 2026$13.09+11%
Q2 2026$12.26+4.5%
Q1 2026$12.00+4.9%
Q4 2025$11.94+8%
Q3 2025$11.81+10%
Q2 2025$11.73+7.4%
Q1 2025$11.44+49%
Q4 2024$11.06+27%

R has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

R Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+8.3%
Q2 2026$3.3B+5%
Q1 2026$3.1B-0.2%
Q4 2025$3.2B-0.4%
Q3 2025$3.2B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.2B+0.2%
Q1 2025$3.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$3.2B+5.5%

R's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $3.4B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over R on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

R Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$266MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$87MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $344MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: −$266MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$87MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $344MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$182M+$267M
Q2 2026$272M+332%
Q1 2026$156M+14%
Q4 2025$344M+$547M
Q3 2025-$85M-383%
Q2 2025$63M+$150M
Q1 2025$137M+$297M
Q4 2024-$203M+$63M

R has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

R Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-116K shares
1 year-6.8%-2.8M shares
3 years-16%-7.5M shares
5 years-28%-14.7M shares
Available history-26%-13.6M shares

R has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

R Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

R's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.9 years a year ago.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

R Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic79.7Neutral

R's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

R PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRSector medianRelative
PE21x24x11% below
PE %925834 pts above

R is trading at 21x earnings, a 11% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

R Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.19% above
20 week MA$256.38.9% above
50 week MA$233.819% above
100 week MA$198.541% above
200 week MA$155.779% above

R has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

R Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.9$64.0+19%
2021$64.0$79.4+24%
2022$79.4$84.7+6.7%
2023$84.7$115.1+36%
2024$115.1$159.3+38%
2025$159.3$196.2+23%
2026 YTD$196.2$279.0+42%

R has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.

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