R

Ryder System, Inc.

53
Fundamentals58/ 100
Valuation24/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

R has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over R overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

R Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

R's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

R PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE32x64x96x128x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$77.14-72%
Fair13x$173-38%
Forward16x$279—
Expensive19x$252-9.8%
Current21x$279—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

R's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

R Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for R, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

R Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$350.72
Downside-16%$235.31

Calculated from the latest close: $279.04 on Nov 12.

R trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than R, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

R Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $7.68Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $10.69Q4 2024: $11.06Q1 2025: $11.44Q2 2025: $11.73Q3 2025: $11.81Q4 2025: $11.94Q1 2026: $12.00Q2 2026: $12.26Q3 2026: $13.09Forward: $17.51
Q4 2023: $8.73Q1 2024: $7.68Q2 2024: $10.92Q3 2024: $10.69Q4 2024: $11.06Q1 2025: $11.44Q2 2025: $11.73Q3 2025: $11.81Q4 2025: $11.94Q1 2026: $12.00Q2 2026: $12.26Q3 2026: $13.09Forward: $17.51
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.51+34%
Q3 2026$13.09+11%
Q2 2026$12.26+4.5%
Q1 2026$12.00+4.9%
Q4 2025$11.94+8%
Q3 2025$11.81+10%
Q2 2025$11.73+7.4%
Q1 2025$11.44+49%
Q4 2024$11.06+27%

R has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

R Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: $3.1BQ2 2024: $3.2BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.2BQ1 2025: $3.1BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.2BQ4 2025: $3.2BQ1 2026: $3.1BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $3.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.4B+8.3%
Q2 2026$3.3B+5%
Q1 2026$3.1B-0.2%
Q4 2025$3.2B-0.4%
Q3 2025$3.2B+0.1%
Q2 2025$3.2B+0.2%
Q1 2025$3.1B+1.1%
Q4 2024$3.2B+5.5%

R's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $3.4B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over R on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

R Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$266MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$87MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $344MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $182M
Q4 2023: −$266MQ1 2024: −$160MQ2 2024: −$87MQ3 2024: $30MQ4 2024: −$203MQ1 2025: $137MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: −$85MQ4 2025: $344MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $272MQ3 2026: $182M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$182M+$267M
Q2 2026$272M+332%
Q1 2026$156M+14%
Q4 2025$344M+$547M
Q3 2025-$85M-383%
Q2 2025$63M+$150M
Q1 2025$137M+$297M
Q4 2024-$203M+$63M

R has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

R Total Shares

Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 46MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 44MQ4 2024: 44MQ1 2025: 43MQ2 2025: 42MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-116K shares
1 year-6.8%-2.8M shares
3 years-16%-7.5M shares
5 years-28%-14.7M shares
Available history-26%-13.6M shares

R has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

R Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.4x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.3xQ2 2024: 3.1xQ3 2024: 3.2xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 3.2xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 2.9xQ4 2025: 2.7xQ1 2026: 2.6xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.4xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.6xModerate
Q4 20252.7xModerate
Q3 20252.9xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20253.2xElevated
Q4 20243.2xElevated

R's net debt is about 2.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.9 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

R Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.6Neutral
Stochastic79.7Neutral

R's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

R PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRSector medianRelative
PE21x24x11% below
PE %925834 pts above

R is trading at 21x earnings, a 11% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

R Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$256.19% above
20 week MA$256.38.9% above
50 week MA$233.819% above
100 week MA$198.541% above
200 week MA$155.779% above

R has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

R Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.9$64.0+19%
2021$64.0$79.4+24%
2022$79.4$84.7+6.7%
2023$84.7$115.1+36%
2024$115.1$159.3+38%
2025$159.3$196.2+23%
2026 YTD$196.2$279.0+42%

R has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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