QXO

QXO, Inc.

57
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

QXO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over QXO overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

QXO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Unavailable

QXO's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

QXO PE Valuation

QXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QXO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for QXO, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

QXO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$19.70
Downside-33%$8.54

Calculated from the latest close: $12.81 on Nov 12.

QXO trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QXO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

QXO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.87Forward: $0.45
Q4 2025: $-0.63Q1 2026: $-0.95Q2 2026: $-0.94Q3 2026: $-0.87Forward: $0.45

QXO and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

QXO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $4.9B
Q4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $1.9BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $4.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.9B+79%
Q2 2026$3.2B+70%
Q1 2026$1.7B+12709%
Q4 2025$2.2B+14782%

QXO has the edge over RDW on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

QXO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$194MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: −$248MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: $54MQ1 2025: $36MQ2 2025: −$194MQ3 2025: $182MQ4 2025: $158MQ1 2026: $48MQ2 2026: −$248MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$248.1M-$54.3M
Q1 2026$48.1M+32%
Q4 2025$158.2M+193%

QXO and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

QXO Total Shares

Q1 2025: 451MQ2 2025: 565MQ3 2025: 715MQ4 2025: 613MQ1 2026: 744MQ2 2026: 767M
Q1 2025: 451MQ2 2025: 565MQ3 2025: 715MQ4 2025: 613MQ1 2026: 744MQ2 2026: 767M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.1%+22.9M shares
1 year+36%+203M shares

QXO has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

QXO Net Leverage

QXO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

QXO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic28.7Neutral

QXO's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

QXO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricQXOSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

QXO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

QXO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$11.511% above
20 week MA$13.01.3% below
50 week MA$17.727% below
100 week MA$17.426% below
200 week MA$34.963% below

QXO has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

QXO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.0$24.1-25%
2021$24.1$36.5+51%
2022$36.5$23.7-35%
2023$23.7$136.9+478%
2024$136.9$15.6-89%
2025$15.6$21.2+37%
2026 YTD$21.2$12.8-40%

QXO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +478% in 2023 to −89% in 2024. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over QXO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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