QCOM

QUALCOMM Incorporated

50
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential39/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

QCOM offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

STX

Seagate Technology Holdings plc

77
Fundamentals94/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential93/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

STX has the edge over QCOM overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

QCOM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Healthy
Healthy

QCOM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

STX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

QCOM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$175-1.1%
Current14x$177—
Fair20x$248+40%
Expensive26x$333+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

QCOM has the edge over STX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

STX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE26x53x79x106x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.9x$188-65%
Forward12x$545—
Fair17x$318-42%
Current29x$545—
Expensive43x$823+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

QCOM Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for QCOM to show an outlook.

STX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for STX, with profitability improving.

QCOM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$224.30
Downside-41%$103.77

Calculated from the latest close: $177.14 on Nov 12.

QCOM trails STX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

STX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+175%$1,497.22
Downside-14%$470.41

Calculated from the latest close: $545.14 on Nov 12.

STX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than QCOM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

QCOM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
Q4 2023: $6.90Q1 2024: $7.44Q2 2024: $7.72Q3 2024: $8.97Q4 2024: $9.34Q1 2025: $9.80Q2 2025: $10.35Q3 2025: $5.01Q4 2025: $4.96Q1 2026: $9.32Q2 2026: $8.76Q3 2026: $12.70
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$12.70+153%
Q2 2026$8.76-15%
Q1 2026$9.32-4.9%
Q4 2025$4.96-47%
Q3 2025$5.01-44%
Q2 2025$10.35+34%
Q1 2025$9.80+32%
Q4 2024$9.34+35%

QCOM earned $12.70 per share over the past year, up 153% from the year before.

STX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
Q4 2023: $-3.51Q1 2024: $-1.30Q2 2024: $1.58Q3 2024: $3.87Q4 2024: $5.51Q1 2025: $6.96Q2 2025: $6.77Q4 2025: $7.79Q1 2026: $8.84Q2 2026: $10.54Q3 2026: $13.90Q4 2026: $19.06Forward: $46.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.99+147%
Q3 2026$19.06+145%
Q2 2026$13.90+105%
Q1 2026$10.54+51%
Q4 2025$8.84+60%
Q3 2025$7.79+101%
Q2 2025$6.77+328%
Q1 2025$6.96+$8.26
Q4 2024$5.51+$9.02

STX has the edge over QCOM on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
Q4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.4BQ3 2024: $10.2BQ4 2024: $11.7BQ1 2025: $11BQ2 2025: $10.4BQ3 2025: $11.3BQ4 2025: $12.3BQ1 2026: $10.6BQ2 2026: $9.9BQ3 2026: $10.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$10.3B-8.4%
Q2 2026$9.9B-4%
Q1 2026$10.6B-3.5%
Q4 2025$12.3B+5%
Q3 2025$11.3B+10%
Q2 2025$10.4B+10%
Q1 2025$11B+17%
Q4 2024$11.7B+17%

QCOM's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $10.3B last quarter, down 8.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

STX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $1.7BQ2 2024: $1.9BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2.2BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $2.8BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $3.6BQ4 2026: $4.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.2B+61%
Q2 2026$3.6B+48%
Q1 2026$3.1B+44%
Q4 2025$2.8B+22%
Q3 2025$2.6B+21%
Q2 2025$2.4B+30%
Q1 2025$2.2B+31%
Q4 2024$2.3B+50%

STX has the edge over QCOM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $2.7BQ1 2024: $3.4BQ2 2024: $2.7BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $4.3BQ1 2025: $2.3BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $4.4BQ1 2026: $1.9BQ2 2026: $495MQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B-49%
Q2 2026$495M-81%
Q1 2026$1.9B-18%
Q4 2025$4.4B+2.5%
Q3 2025$3.6B+50%
Q2 2025$2.6B-3.2%
Q1 2025$2.3B-31%
Q4 2024$4.3B+58%

QCOM's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $8.7B over the past year, down 33% from the year before.

STX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $99MQ1 2024: $128MQ2 2024: $380MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $216MQ2 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $427MQ1 2026: $607MQ2 2026: $953MQ3 2026: $1.1BQ4 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+246%
Q2 2026$1.1B+163%
Q1 2026$953M+341%
Q4 2025$607M+305%
Q3 2025$427M+1481%
Q2 2025$425M+12%
Q1 2025$216M+69%
Q4 2024$150M+52%

STX has the edge over QCOM on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

QCOM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1.1BQ3 2024: 1.1BQ4 2024: 1.1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.1BQ3 2025: 1.1BQ4 2025: 1.1BQ1 2026: 1.1BQ2 2026: 1.1BQ3 2026: 1.1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+4M shares
1 year-2.9%-32M shares
3 years-4.7%-53M shares
5 years-6.6%-76M shares
Available history-7.4%-86M shares

QCOM has the edge over STX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
Q4 2023: 209MQ1 2024: 213MQ2 2024: 212MQ3 2024: 216MQ4 2024: 217MQ1 2025: 216MQ2 2025: 217MQ4 2025: 226MQ1 2026: 228MQ2 2026: 229MQ3 2026: 229MQ4 2026: 232M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+3M shares
1 year+2.7%+6M shares
3 years+12%+24M shares
5 years+0.4%+1M shares
Available history-12%-33M shares

STX has 232M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

QCOM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
Q4 2023: 0.6xQ1 2024: 0.5xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.6xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.7xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 1.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.0xHealthy
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.7xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

QCOM's net debt is about a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

STX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 66.0xQ1 2024: 10.4xQ2 2024: 6.0xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 2.8xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 1.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.4xQ4 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.2xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.8xModerate

STX has the edge over QCOM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

QCOM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.8Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

QCOM's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

STX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.5Neutral
Stochastic8.3Oversold

STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

QCOM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricQCOMSector medianRelative
PE14x28x50% below
PE %173518 pts below

QCOM has the edge over STX on valuation relative to its sector.

STX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSTXSector medianRelative
PE29x28x2.7% above
PE %753540 pts above

STX is trading at 29x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

QCOM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$177.20% below
20 week MA$172.82.5% above
50 week MA$170.73.8% above
100 week MA$164.37.8% above
200 week MA$155.114% above

QCOM has the edge over STX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$683.620% below
20 week MA$785.031% below
50 week MA$630.714% below
100 week MA$387.341% above
200 week MA$234.4133% above

STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.

QCOM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.8$148.8+68%
2021$148.8$182.7+23%
2022$182.7$110.8-39%
2023$110.8$144.6+30%
2024$144.6$157.2+8.7%
2025$157.2$174.8+11%
2026 YTD$174.8$177.1+1.3%

QCOM has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 1.3% so far in 2026.

STX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$63.0+5.7%
2021$63.0$111.4+77%
2022$111.4$50.5-55%
2023$50.5$85.4+69%
2024$85.4$87.4+2.4%
2025$87.4$286.2+228%
2026 YTD$286.2$545.1+90%

STX has the edge over QCOM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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