PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30โ€”
Current11x$58.30โ€”
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL's PE is in its cheap range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.9x next year's earnings.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR trails PYPL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 20% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL is trading at 11x earnings, a 15% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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