PTON

Peloton Interactive, Inc.

67
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

PTON has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PTON Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

PTON's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

PTON PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE604x1209x1813x2418x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE604x1209x1813x2418x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$5.53—
Current18x$5.53—
Cheap39x$11.63+110%
Fair178x$53.35+865%
Expensive1,471x$441+7883%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTON has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

PTON Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTON's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PTON Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$8.80
Downside-32%$3.78

Calculated from the latest close: $5.53 on Nov 12.

PTON has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails PTON on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PTON Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.44Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.77Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.32
Q4 2023: $-2.44Q1 2024: $-2.10Q2 2024: $-1.51Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-0.77Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.30Q3 2025: $-0.27Q4 2025: $-0.12Q1 2026: $0.06Q2 2026: $0.14Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.32+7.6%
Q3 2026$0.30+$0.57
Q2 2026$0.14+$0.44
Q1 2026$0.06+$0.50
Q4 2025-$0.12+$0.65
Q3 2025-$0.27+$0.80
Q2 2025-$0.30+$1.21
Q1 2025-$0.44+$1.66
Q4 2024-$0.77+$1.67

PTON has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

PTON Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $744MQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $644MQ3 2024: $586MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $624MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $608MQ3 2026: $559M
Q4 2023: $744MQ1 2024: $718MQ2 2024: $644MQ3 2024: $586MQ4 2024: $674MQ1 2025: $624MQ2 2025: $607MQ3 2025: $551MQ4 2025: $657MQ1 2026: $631MQ2 2026: $608MQ3 2026: $559M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$559.2M+1.5%
Q2 2026$607.7M+0.1%
Q1 2026$630.9M+1.1%
Q4 2025$656.5M-2.6%
Q3 2025$550.8M-6%
Q2 2025$606.9M-5.7%
Q1 2025$624M-13%
Q4 2024$673.9M-9.4%

PTON's revenue fell from its 2021 peak and has held roughly level since: $559M last quarter, up 1.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over PTON on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTON Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $143M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $9MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $106MQ1 2025: $95MQ2 2025: $112MQ3 2025: $67MQ4 2025: $71MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $89MQ3 2026: $143M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$143.4M+113%
Q2 2026$88.8M-21%
Q1 2026$150.5M+59%
Q4 2025$71M-33%
Q3 2025$67.4M+530%
Q2 2025$112.4M+332%
Q1 2025$94.6M+1000%
Q4 2024$106M+$143.1M

PTON has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

PTON Total Shares

Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 368MQ2 2024: 366MQ3 2024: 379MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 394MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 430MQ4 2025: 421MQ1 2026: 512MQ2 2026: 436MQ3 2026: 525M
Q4 2023: 362MQ1 2024: 368MQ2 2024: 366MQ3 2024: 379MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 394MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 430MQ4 2025: 421MQ1 2026: 512MQ2 2026: 436MQ3 2026: 525M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+20%+89.2M shares
1 year+22%+95.4M shares
3 years+47%+167M shares
5 years+74%+224M shares
Available history+88%+245M shares

PTON has 525M diluted shares, up 22% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over PTON on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PTON Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 9.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q2 2025: 9.3xQ3 2025: 5.8xQ4 2025: 3.6xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20253.6xElevated
Q3 20255.8xHigh
Q2 20259.3xHigh
Q1 2021-8.1xNet Cash
Q4 2020-6.1xNet Cash

PTON has more cash than debt.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over PTON on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PTON Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.9Neutral
Stochastic43.7Neutral

PTON's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 44 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

PTON PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPTONSector medianRelative
PE18x18x2.3% above
PE %04747 pts below

PTON has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

PTON Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.235.7% above
20 week MA$5.471.1% above
50 week MA$5.392.6% above
100 week MA$6.3813% below
200 week MA$6.4514% below

PTON has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 14% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over PTON on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PTON Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.0$162.7+503%
2021$162.7$38.6-76%
2022$38.6$8.89-77%
2023$8.89$6.09-31%
2024$6.09$9.39+54%
2025$9.39$6.06-35%
2026 YTD$6.06$5.53-8.7%

PTON has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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