PTGX

Protagonist Therapeutics, Inc.

62
Fundamentals92/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

PTGX offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has a slight edge over PTGX overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

PTGX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Healthy

PTGX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PTGX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x78x117x157x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$62.70-53%
Current28x$134—
Fair42x$197+47%
Expensive131x$618+360%
Forward1,897x$134—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PTGX's PE is in its fair range at 28x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 1897x next year's earnings, in its expensive range.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH has the edge over PTGX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

PTGX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Strong decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PTGX's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

UNH has the edge over PTGX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

PTGX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$195.99
Downside-20%$106.90

Calculated from the latest close: $134.38 on Nov 12.

PTGX trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PTGX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PTGX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $-2.05Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $4.72Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $-1.39Q1 2024: $2.54Q2 2024: $2.72Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $4.23Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.73Q3 2025: $0.65Q4 2025: $-2.05Q1 2026: $-1.81Q2 2026: $1.03Q3 2026: $4.72Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07-98%
Q3 2026$4.72+626%
Q2 2026$1.03+41%
Q1 2026-$1.81-332%
Q4 2025-$2.05-148%
Q3 2025$0.65-76%
Q2 2025$0.73-73%
Q1 2025$0.78-69%
Q4 2024$4.23+$5.62

PTGX's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.72 over the past year, up from $0.65 the year before.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PTGX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $274M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $255MQ2 2024: $4MQ3 2024: $5MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $6MQ3 2025: $5MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $56MQ2 2026: $213MQ3 2026: $274M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$274.4M+5724%
Q2 2026$213.5M+3749%
Q1 2026$56.4M+99%
Q4 2025$7.4M-96%
Q3 2025$4.7M+0.8%
Q2 2025$5.5M+33%
Q1 2025$28.3M-89%
Q4 2024$170.6M+184%

PTGX's revenue is growing: $274M last quarter, up 5724% from the same quarter a year ago.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PTGX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: −$23M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: −$28MQ2 2024: $269MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$29MQ1 2025: $125MQ2 2025: −$30MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: −$37MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $219MQ3 2026: −$23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.5M-$21.4M
Q2 2026$218.9M+$248.5M
Q1 2026-$49.2M-139%
Q4 2025-$37.1M-$7.6M
Q3 2025-$2M+$26.6M
Q2 2025-$29.6M-111%
Q1 2025$124.8M+$152.5M
Q4 2024-$29.5M-274%

PTGX has burned cash in almost every quarter: $109M over the past year, up 71% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over PTGX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PTGX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 61MQ3 2024: 62MQ4 2024: 65MQ1 2025: 63MQ2 2025: 64MQ3 2025: 64MQ4 2025: 64MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 72M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1%+725K shares
1 year+12%+8M shares
3 years+21%+12.5M shares
5 years+49%+23.7M shares
Available history+177%+45.8M shares

PTGX has 72M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over PTGX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PTGX Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -6.8xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ2 2026: -7.0xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q1 2024: -1.2xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -0.9xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -5.0xQ2 2025: -6.8xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ2 2026: -7.0xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-7.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2024-2.3xNet Cash

PTGX has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PTGX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.7Neutral
Stochastic31.1Neutral

PTGX's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PTGX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPTGXSector medianRelative
PE28x26x10% above
PE %492920 pts above

PTGX is trading at 28x earnings, a 10% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over PTGX on valuation relative to its sector.

PTGX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$138.02.6% below
20 week MA$140.94.6% below
50 week MA$113.319% above
100 week MA$83.761% above
200 week MA$55.7141% above

PTGX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 141% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over PTGX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PTGX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.00$23.8+239%
2021$23.8$34.3+44%
2022$34.3$10.1-71%
2023$10.1$22.9+127%
2024$22.9$39.0+70%
2025$39.0$88.8+128%
2026 YTD$88.8$134.4+51%

PTGX has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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