PSX

Phillips 66

70
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

PSX's fundamentals are strong and it looks cheap: trading at 8.4x earnings, below its usual 12x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PSX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Healthy
Unavailable

PSX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PSX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE33x67x100x134x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.1x$160-39%
Forward7.1x$263—
Current8.4x$263—
Fair12x$368+40%
Expensive28x$887+237%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PSX's PE is in its cheap range at 8.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 7.1x next year's earnings.

PSX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PSX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PSX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+46%$383.93
Downside-13%$228.85

Calculated from the latest close: $262.91 on Nov 12.

PSX's one-year upside scenario is about four times its downside: +46% against −13%.

PSX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $15.48Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $11.67Q3 2024: $7.80Q4 2024: $4.99Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $3.71Q4 2025: $10.79Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $17.52Q3 2026: $31.28Forward: $37.28
Q4 2023: $15.48Q1 2024: $13.01Q2 2024: $11.67Q3 2024: $7.80Q4 2024: $4.99Q1 2025: $4.44Q2 2025: $4.21Q3 2025: $3.71Q4 2025: $10.79Q1 2026: $10.12Q2 2026: $17.52Q3 2026: $31.28Forward: $37.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$37.28+19%
Q3 2026$31.28+743%
Q2 2026$17.52+316%
Q1 2026$10.12+128%
Q4 2025$10.79+116%
Q3 2025$3.71-52%
Q2 2025$4.21-64%
Q1 2025$4.44-66%
Q4 2024$4.99-68%

PSX's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $31.28 over the past year, up from $3.71 the year before.

PSX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.3BQ1 2024: $35.8BQ2 2024: $38.1BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $33.7BQ1 2025: $30.4BQ2 2025: $33.3BQ3 2025: $34.5BQ4 2025: $34.1BQ1 2026: $32.5BQ2 2026: $51BQ3 2026: $50.5B
Q4 2023: $38.3BQ1 2024: $35.8BQ2 2024: $38.1BQ3 2024: $35.5BQ4 2024: $33.7BQ1 2025: $30.4BQ2 2025: $33.3BQ3 2025: $34.5BQ4 2025: $34.1BQ1 2026: $32.5BQ2 2026: $51BQ3 2026: $50.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.5B+46%
Q2 2026$51B+53%
Q1 2026$32.5B+6.9%
Q4 2025$34.1B+1.3%
Q3 2025$34.5B-2.9%
Q2 2025$33.3B-13%
Q1 2025$30.4B-15%
Q4 2024$33.7B-12%

PSX's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $50.5B last quarter, up 46% from the same quarter a year ago.

PSX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$236MQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $845MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: −$2.3BQ2 2026: $7.3BQ3 2026: $7.3B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: −$236MQ2 2024: $2.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.2BQ1 2025: $187MQ2 2025: $845MQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: −$2.3BQ2 2026: $7.3BQ3 2026: $7.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$7.3B+518%
Q2 2026$7.3B+759%
Q1 2026-$2.3B-1311%
Q4 2025$2.8B+130%
Q3 2025$1.2B+4.1%
Q2 2025$845M-60%
Q1 2025$187M+$423M
Q4 2024$1.2B-45%

PSX generated $15B in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

PSX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 453MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 426MQ3 2024: 419MQ4 2024: 422MQ1 2025: 411MQ2 2025: 408MQ3 2025: 406MQ4 2025: 408MQ1 2026: 403MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 399M
Q4 2023: 453MQ1 2024: 432MQ2 2024: 426MQ3 2024: 419MQ4 2024: 422MQ1 2025: 411MQ2 2025: 408MQ3 2025: 406MQ4 2025: 408MQ1 2026: 403MQ2 2026: 403MQ3 2026: 399M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-3.7M shares
1 year-1.6%-6.6M shares
3 years-11%-48.3M shares
5 years-9.4%-41.4M shares
Available history-12%-54.9M shares

PSX has 399M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago, with $3.2B in buybacks over the past year.

PSX Net Leverage

PSX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.7Neutral
Stochastic63.2Neutral

PSX's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).

PSX PE vs Energy Sector

MetricPSXSector medianRelative
PE8.4x13x36% below
PE %296132 pts below

PSX is trading at 8.4x earnings, a 36% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

PSX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$270.82.9% below
20 week MA$243.48% above
50 week MA$193.336% above
100 week MA$158.166% above
200 week MA$141.186% above

PSX's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 86% above its 200-week average.

PSX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$110.6$68.7-38%
2021$68.7$71.9+4.6%
2022$71.9$103.9+45%
2023$103.9$133.1+28%
2024$133.1$112.6-15%
2025$112.6$127.8+13%
2026 YTD$127.8$262.9+106%

PSX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 106% so far in 2026.

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