PRVA

Privia Health Group, Inc.

77
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation83/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PRVA has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PRVA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

PRVA's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PRVA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x131x197x262x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE66x131x197x262x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward54x$23.67—
Current88x$23.67—
Cheap90x$24.32+2.7%
Fair150x$40.60+72%
Expensive207x$55.80+136%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRVA has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PRVA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

PRVA has the edge over UNH on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PRVA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$36.82
Downside-11%$21.10

Calculated from the latest close: $23.67 on Nov 12.

PRVA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UNH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH trails PRVA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PRVA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.44
Q4 2023: $0.19Q1 2024: $0.15Q2 2024: $0.12Q3 2024: $0.10Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.11Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.18Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.22Q3 2026: $0.27Forward: $0.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.44+61%
Q3 2026$0.27+108%
Q2 2026$0.22+100%
Q1 2026$0.17+42%
Q4 2025$0.18+64%
Q3 2025$0.13+30%
Q2 2025$0.11-8.3%
Q1 2025$0.12-20%
Q4 2024$0.11-42%

PRVA has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PRVA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $422MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $480MQ2 2025: $521MQ3 2025: $580MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $633MQ3 2026: $657M
Q4 2023: $441MQ1 2024: $415MQ2 2024: $422MQ3 2024: $438MQ4 2024: $461MQ1 2025: $480MQ2 2025: $521MQ3 2025: $580MQ4 2025: $541MQ1 2026: $604MQ2 2026: $633MQ3 2026: $657M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$657M+13%
Q2 2026$632.6M+21%
Q1 2026$603.8M+26%
Q4 2025$541.2M+17%
Q3 2025$580.4M+33%
Q2 2025$521.2M+23%
Q1 2025$480.1M+16%
Q4 2024$460.9M+4.6%

PRVA has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PRVA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $29M
Q4 2023: $64MQ1 2024: −$33MQ2 2024: $34MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $75MQ1 2025: −$24MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $128MQ1 2026: −$49MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$28.9M-44%
Q2 2026$1.1M-86%
Q1 2026-$49.5M-$25.4M
Q4 2025$127.5M+70%
Q3 2025$52M+57%
Q2 2025$8M-77%
Q1 2025-$24.1M+$9.1M
Q4 2024$74.8M+17%

PRVA generated $108M in free cash flow over the past year, down 2.4% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH has the edge over PRVA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRVA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 125MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 125MQ1 2024: 125MQ2 2024: 125MQ3 2024: 126MQ4 2024: 126MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 128MQ3 2025: 129MQ4 2025: 129MQ1 2026: 131MQ2 2026: 132MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+883K shares
1 year+3.1%+3.9M shares
3 years+6.2%+7.8M shares
5 years+25%+26.8M shares
Available history+29%+29.9M shares

PRVA has 133M diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over PRVA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PRVA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -14.3xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -19.4xQ3 2024: -20.7xQ4 2024: -20.3xQ1 2025: -16.3xQ2 2025: -14.1xQ3 2025: -11.8xQ4 2025: -10.9xQ1 2026: -8.8xQ2 2026: -7.2xQ3 2026: -7.0x
Q4 2023: -14.3xQ1 2024: -16.1xQ2 2024: -19.4xQ3 2024: -20.7xQ4 2024: -20.3xQ1 2025: -16.3xQ2 2025: -14.1xQ3 2025: -11.8xQ4 2025: -10.9xQ1 2026: -8.8xQ2 2026: -7.2xQ3 2026: -7.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-7.0xNet Cash
Q2 2026-7.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-8.8xNet Cash
Q4 2025-10.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-11.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-14.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-16.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-20.3xNet Cash

PRVA has the edge over UNH on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH's net debt is about 1.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PRVA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic71.7Neutral

PRVA's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 72 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PRVA PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPRVASector medianRelative
PE88x26x239% above
PE %153621 pts below

PRVA is trading at 88x earnings, a 239% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over PRVA on valuation relative to its sector.

PRVA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$21.98% above
20 week MA$22.74.4% above
50 week MA$22.93.4% above
100 week MA$22.93.6% above
200 week MA$22.64.9% above

PRVA has the edge over UNH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 9.3% below its 200-week average.

PRVA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$36.3$26.2-28%
2022$26.2$23.4-11%
2023$23.4$23.0-1.6%
2024$23.0$19.9-14%
2025$19.9$24.1+22%
2026 YTD$24.1$23.7-1.9%

PRVA has finished lower in four of the last five years. It's down 1.9% so far in 2026.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has the edge over PRVA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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