PRKS

United Parks & Resorts Inc.

46
Fundamentals41/ 100
Valuation35/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

PRKS has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN has the edge over PRKS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

PRKS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Weak

PRKS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PRKS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward11x$40.16—
Cheap12x$32.45-19%
Fair14x$37.08-7.7%
Current15x$40.16—
Expensive18x$47.84+19%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PRKS's PE is in its expensive range at 15x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x, in its cheap range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PRKS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PRKS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over PRKS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

PRKS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$49.71
Downside-29%$28.66

Calculated from the latest close: $40.16 on Nov 12.

PRKS trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PRKS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PRKS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.99Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $2.66Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $3.65
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.72Q2 2024: $3.83Q3 2024: $3.99Q4 2024: $3.79Q1 2025: $3.67Q2 2025: $3.66Q3 2025: $3.19Q4 2025: $3.06Q1 2026: $2.66Q2 2026: $2.55Q3 2026: $2.68Forward: $3.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.65+36%
Q3 2026$2.68-16%
Q2 2026$2.55-30%
Q1 2026$2.66-28%
Q4 2025$3.06-19%
Q3 2025$3.19-20%
Q2 2025$3.66-4.4%
Q1 2025$3.67-1.3%
Q4 2024$3.79+4.4%

PRKS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

PRKS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $389MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $498MQ3 2024: $546MQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $512MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $278MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $506M
Q4 2023: $389MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $498MQ3 2024: $546MQ4 2024: $384MQ1 2025: $287MQ2 2025: $490MQ3 2025: $512MQ4 2025: $374MQ1 2026: $278MQ2 2026: $483MQ3 2026: $506M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$506.5M-1.1%
Q2 2026$483.3M-1.4%
Q1 2026$278.3M-3%
Q4 2025$373.5M-2.8%
Q3 2025$511.9M-6.2%
Q2 2025$490.2M-1.5%
Q1 2025$286.9M-3.5%
Q4 2024$384.4M-1.2%

PRKS's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $506M last quarter, down 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over PRKS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PRKS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $23M
Q4 2023: $36MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $68MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: −$31MQ2 2025: $128MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: $28MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $101MQ3 2026: $23M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$23.5M-38%
Q2 2026$101.5M-21%
Q1 2026-$2.8M+$28.4M
Q4 2025$28.1M-67%
Q3 2025$38M-44%
Q2 2025$127.6M+36%
Q1 2025-$31.2M-$15.3M
Q4 2024$86.2M+141%

PRKS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

PRKS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 62MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 60MQ1 2025: 55MQ2 2025: 55MQ3 2025: 55MQ4 2025: 55MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 47MQ3 2026: 46M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.5%-1.2M shares
1 year-17%-9.5M shares
3 years-29%-18.4M shares
5 years-43%-34M shares
Available history-43%-35.1M shares

PRKS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

PRKS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.0xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 3.4xQ4 2024: 3.4xQ1 2025: 3.5xQ2 2025: 3.4xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 4.0xQ1 2026: 4.3xQ2 2026: 4.5xQ3 2026: 4.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.6xHigh
Q2 20264.5xHigh
Q1 20264.3xHigh
Q4 20254.0xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.4xElevated
Q1 20253.5xElevated
Q4 20243.4xElevated

PRKS's net debt is about 4.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.7 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PRKS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic39.7Neutral

PRKS's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

PRKS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricPRKSSector medianRelative
PE15x18x17% below
PE %734726 pts above

PRKS is trading at 15x earnings, a 17% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PRKS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.018% above
20 week MA$39.51.6% above
50 week MA$37.95.9% above
100 week MA$43.16.8% below
200 week MA$48.116% below

PRKS has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

PRKS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.2$30.6-5.2%
2021$30.6$66.9+119%
2022$66.9$54.3-19%
2023$54.3$52.8-2.7%
2024$52.8$55.4+4.9%
2025$55.4$36.0-35%
2026 YTD$36.0$40.2+12%

PRKS has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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