POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
POWW has the edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
POWW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
POWW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
POWW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $0.46 | -80% |
| Fair | 21x | $0.64 | -72% |
| Forward | 51x | $2.28 | — |
| Expensive | 74x | $2.23 | -2.1% |
| Current | 76x | $2.28 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
POWW's PE is 76x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
POWW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect POWW to return to profit, with revenue growing.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
POWW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.04 | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$1.10 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.05 | +$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.71 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.64 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.07 | -$0.80 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.14 | -$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -$0.37 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.31 | -$0.14 |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
POWW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.5M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.4M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $12M | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.9M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.2M | -19% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.4M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2024 | $31M | -9.6% |
| Q1 2024 | $40.4M | -7.5% |
POWW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $14M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +74 points |
| Q1 2026 | -21% | N/A |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +104 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | +46 points |
| Q2 2025 | -51% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -89% | -84 points |
| Q3 2024 | -40% | -14 points |
| Q2 2024 | -34% | -29 points |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over POWW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
POWW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.9M | -146% |
| Q4 2025 | $5M | +9049% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M | +$13.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.6M | -$5.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +128% |
| Q4 2024 | $55K | -99% |
| Q3 2024 | -$10.8M | -380% |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
POWW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +6.9M shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +7.2M shares |
| 3 years | +5.4% | +6.3M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +15M shares |
| Available history | +173% | +78.6M shares |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $52,828 |
| Q1 2026 | $60,863 |
| Q4 2025 | $82,025 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $171,200 |
| Q1 2025 | $121,768 |
| Q4 2024 | $81,059 |
| Q3 2024 | $94,497 |
POWW has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
POWW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -215.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -14.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
POWW has more cash than debt.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
POWW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.9 | Neutral |
POWW's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
POWW PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | POWW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 76x | 24x | 216% above |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
POWW is trading at 76x earnings, a 216% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
POWW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.30 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.25 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $2.07 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $1.78 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $1.89 | 21% above |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
POWW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.08 | $3.64 | +237% |
| 2021 | $3.64 | $5.59 | +54% |
| 2022 | $5.59 | $1.70 | -70% |
| 2023 | $1.70 | $2.10 | +24% |
| 2024 | $2.10 | $1.06 | -50% |
| 2025 | $1.06 | $1.83 | +73% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.83 | $2.28 | +25% |
POWW has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.