POWW
Outdoor Holding Company
POWW has a slight edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
POWW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
POWW's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
POWW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 15x | $0.46 | -80% |
| Fair | 21x | $0.64 | -72% |
| Forward | 51x | $2.28 | — |
| Expensive | 74x | $2.23 | -2.1% |
| Current | 76x | $2.28 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
POWW's PE is 76x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
POWW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| -- |
Analysts expect POWW to return to profit, with revenue growing.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
POWW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.04 | +50% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.03 | +$1.10 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.05 | +$1.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.71 | -$0.19 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.95 | -$0.64 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.07 | -$0.80 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.14 | -$0.98 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.52 | -$0.37 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.31 | -$0.14 |
POWW has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
POWW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $14.5M | +22% |
| Q4 2025 | $13.4M | -54% |
| Q3 2025 | $12M | -62% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.9M | -62% |
| Q4 2024 | $29.2M | -19% |
| Q3 2024 | $31.4M | -8.6% |
| Q2 2024 | $31M | -9.6% |
| Q1 2024 | $40.4M | -7.5% |
POWW's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $14M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 23% | +74 points |
| Q1 2026 | -21% | N/A |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | +104 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.9% | +46 points |
| Q2 2025 | -51% | -17 points |
| Q4 2024 | -89% | -84 points |
| Q3 2024 | -40% | -14 points |
| Q2 2024 | -34% | -29 points |
POWW has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW has the edge over POWW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
POWW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $3.8M | +$11.3M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.9M | -146% |
| Q4 2025 | $5M | +9049% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5M | +$13.3M |
| Q2 2025 | -$7.6M | -$5.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $4.2M | +128% |
| Q4 2024 | $55K | -99% |
| Q3 2024 | -$10.8M | -380% |
POWW has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
POWW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.9% | +6.9M shares |
| 1 year | +6.2% | +7.2M shares |
| 3 years | +5.4% | +6.3M shares |
| 5 years | +14% | +15M shares |
| Available history | +173% | +78.6M shares |
POWW has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $52,828 |
| Q1 2026 | $60,863 |
| Q4 2025 | $82,025 |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $171,200 |
| Q1 2025 | $121,768 |
| Q4 2024 | $81,059 |
| Q3 2024 | $94,497 |
POWW has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
POWW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -215.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -14.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | -3.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2022 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2022 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2022 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
POWW has more cash than debt.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
POWW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 38.9 | Neutral |
POWW's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 39 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
POWW PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | POWW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 76x | 24x | 216% above |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
POWW is trading at 76x earnings, a 216% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
POWW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $2.30 | 0.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $2.25 | 1.3% above |
| 50 week MA | $2.07 | 10% above |
| 100 week MA | $1.78 | 28% above |
| 200 week MA | $1.89 | 21% above |
POWW has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
POWW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $1.08 | $3.64 | +237% |
| 2021 | $3.64 | $5.59 | +54% |
| 2022 | $5.59 | $1.70 | -70% |
| 2023 | $1.70 | $2.10 | +24% |
| 2024 | $2.10 | $1.06 | -50% |
| 2025 | $1.06 | $1.83 | +73% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.83 | $2.28 | +25% |
POWW has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.