PONY

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

There isn't enough reported data to score PONY yet.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

PONY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

PONY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PONY PE Valuation

PONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PONY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PONY's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PONY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.43 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare PONY and RKLB's risk to reward.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare PONY and RKLB's risk to reward.

PONY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.61Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-2.77Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-2.50Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.95Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.61Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-2.77Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-2.50Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.95Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.36+$1.03
Q1 2026-$0.37+$2.13
Q4 2025-$0.37+$2.61
Q3 2025-$0.95+$1.82
Q2 2025-$1.39+$1.09
Q1 2025-$2.50-$0.89
Q4 2024-$2.98-$1.58

PONY has the edge over RKLB on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

PONY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$36.2M+69%
Q1 2026$34.3M+145%
Q4 2025$29.3M+16%
Q3 2025$25.4M+1.2%
Q2 2025$21.5M-13%
Q1 2025$14M+12%
Q4 2024$25.2M-16%
Q3 2024$25.2M-16%

PONY's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $36M last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB has the edge over PONY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PONY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$57MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$42MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: $73,853Q4 2025: −$152MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$76M
Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$57MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$42MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: $73,853Q4 2025: −$152MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$76.2M-$36.3M
Q1 2026-$86.7M-$32.5M
Q4 2025-$152M-$109.6M
Q3 2025$73.9K+$30.6M
Q2 2025-$39.9M+$21.1M
Q1 2025-$54.2M-$13.1M
Q4 2024-$42.4M+$14.2M
Q3 2024-$30.6M-$2.7M

PONY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$315M over the past year, against −$167M the year before.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

PONY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 90MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 352MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 385MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 434MQ2 2026: 434M
Q3 2023: 90MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 352MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 385MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 434MQ2 2026: 434M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+9.6K shares
1 year+18%+66.7M shares
3 years+392%+345M shares

PONY has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.

PONY Net Leverage

PONY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PONY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic5.7Oversold

PONY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

PONY PE vs Industrials Sector

PONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PONY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.3617% below
20 week MA$6.5432% below
50 week MA$9.7955% below
100 week MA$12.264% below

RKLB has stronger trend alignment. PONY is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus RKLB above 3 of 5.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.

PONY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$13.0$13.7+5.4%
2025$13.7$15.0+9%
2026 YTD$15.0$4.43-70%

PONY has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 70% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over PONY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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