PONY

Pony AI Inc. American Depositary Shares

There isn't enough reported data to score PONY yet.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink.

PONY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

PONY's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

PONY PE Valuation

PONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PONY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect PONY's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

PONY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $4.43 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare PONY and RDW's risk to reward.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare PONY and RDW's risk to reward.

PONY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.61Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-2.77Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-2.50Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.95Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-1.40Q1 2024: $-1.61Q2 2024: $-2.48Q3 2024: $-2.77Q4 2024: $-2.98Q1 2025: $-2.50Q2 2025: $-1.39Q3 2025: $-0.95Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.37Q2 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.36+$1.03
Q1 2026-$0.37+$2.13
Q4 2025-$0.37+$2.61
Q3 2025-$0.95+$1.82
Q2 2025-$1.39+$1.09
Q1 2025-$2.50-$0.89
Q4 2024-$2.98-$1.58

PONY has the edge over RDW on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

PONY Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $36M
Q3 2023: $30MQ4 2023: $30MQ1 2024: $13MQ2 2024: $25MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $14MQ2 2025: $21MQ3 2025: $25MQ4 2025: $29MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $36M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$36.2M+69%
Q1 2026$34.3M+145%
Q4 2025$29.3M+16%
Q3 2025$25.4M+1.2%
Q2 2025$21.5M-13%
Q1 2025$14M+12%
Q4 2024$25.2M-16%
Q3 2024$25.2M-16%

PONY's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $36M last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over PONY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PONY Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$57MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$42MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: $73,853Q4 2025: −$152MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$76M
Q3 2023: −$28MQ4 2023: −$57MQ1 2024: −$41MQ2 2024: −$61MQ3 2024: −$31MQ4 2024: −$42MQ1 2025: −$54MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: $73,853Q4 2025: −$152MQ1 2026: −$87MQ2 2026: −$76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$76.2M-$36.3M
Q1 2026-$86.7M-$32.5M
Q4 2025-$152M-$109.6M
Q3 2025$73.9K+$30.6M
Q2 2025-$39.9M+$21.1M
Q1 2025-$54.2M-$13.1M
Q4 2024-$42.4M+$14.2M
Q3 2024-$30.6M-$2.7M

PONY has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

PONY Total Shares

Q3 2023: 90MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 352MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 385MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 434MQ2 2026: 434M
Q3 2023: 90MQ4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 88MQ2 2024: 83MQ3 2024: 141MQ4 2024: 182MQ1 2025: 352MQ2 2025: 367MQ3 2025: 385MQ4 2025: 422MQ1 2026: 434MQ2 2026: 434M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+9.6K shares
1 year+18%+66.7M shares
3 years+392%+345M shares

PONY has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

PONY Net Leverage

PONY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

PONY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.0Oversold
Stochastic5.7Oversold

PONY's weekly RSI is 29 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

PONY PE vs Industrials Sector

PONY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PONY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.3617% below
20 week MA$6.5432% below
50 week MA$9.7955% below
100 week MA$12.264% below

RDW has stronger trend alignment. PONY is above 0 of 4 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

PONY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$13.0$13.7+5.4%
2025$13.7$15.0+9%
2026 YTD$15.0$4.43-70%

PONY has finished every year since 2024 higher, and it's down 70% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over PONY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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