PNW

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

49
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation36/ 100
Upside potential52/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

PNW's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 20x earnings, above its usual 17x. Analysts expect earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

PNW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Weak
Weak

PNW's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are weak.

PNW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x24x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.9x12x18x24x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap14x$75.39-30%
Fair17x$89.41-16%
Expensive19x$102-4.6%
Current20x$107—
Forward20x$107—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PNW's PE is in its expensive range at 20.2x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 19.7x.

PNW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PNW, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PNW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$120.11
Downside-11%$95.11

Calculated from the latest close: $107.03 on Nov 12.

PNW's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +12% against −11%.

PNW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.41Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $5.28Q4 2024: $5.24Q1 2025: $5.05Q2 2025: $4.87Q3 2025: $4.89Q4 2025: $5.05Q1 2026: $5.36Q2 2026: $5.21Q3 2026: $5.31Forward: $5.44
Q4 2023: $4.41Q1 2024: $4.59Q2 2024: $5.41Q3 2024: $5.28Q4 2024: $5.24Q1 2025: $5.05Q2 2025: $4.87Q3 2025: $4.89Q4 2025: $5.05Q1 2026: $5.36Q2 2026: $5.21Q3 2026: $5.31Forward: $5.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.44+2.4%
Q3 2026$5.31+8.6%
Q2 2026$5.21+7%
Q1 2026$5.36+6.1%
Q4 2025$5.05-3.6%
Q3 2025$4.89-7.4%
Q2 2025$4.87-10%
Q1 2025$5.05+10%
Q4 2024$5.24+19%

PNW earned $5.31 per share over the past year, up 8.6% from the year before.

PNW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $992MQ1 2024: $952MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2B
Q4 2023: $992MQ1 2024: $952MQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.8BQ4 2025: $1.1BQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2B+8.3%
Q2 2026$1.5B+7.1%
Q1 2026$1.1B+11%
Q4 2025$1.1B+3%
Q3 2025$1.8B+2.9%
Q2 2025$1.4B+3.8%
Q1 2025$1B+8.5%
Q4 2024$1.1B+10%

PNW's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $2B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

PNW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$158MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: −$344MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$221MQ2 2025: −$448MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$193MQ1 2026: −$393MQ2 2026: −$335MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$158MQ1 2024: −$170MQ2 2024: −$344MQ3 2024: −$33MQ4 2024: −$92MQ1 2025: −$221MQ2 2025: −$448MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: −$193MQ1 2026: −$393MQ2 2026: −$335MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$11.4M-127%
Q2 2026-$334.7M+$113.4M
Q1 2026-$393.1M-$172.4M
Q4 2025-$192.7M-$100.6M
Q3 2025$42M+$74.6M
Q2 2025-$448.1M-$103.9M
Q1 2025-$220.7M-$50.3M
Q4 2024-$92.1M+$65.9M

PNW has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$932M over the past year, against −$719M the year before.

PNW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 116MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 122MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 124MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 124M
Q4 2023: 114MQ1 2024: 114MQ2 2024: 116MQ3 2024: 117MQ4 2024: 116MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 122MQ3 2025: 122MQ4 2025: 122MQ1 2026: 124MQ2 2026: 124MQ3 2026: 124M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-155K shares
1 year+2%+2.4M shares
3 years+9.2%+10.5M shares
5 years+9.8%+11.1M shares
Available history+10%+11.6M shares

PNW has 124M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

PNW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.2x
Q4 2023: 4.9xQ1 2024: 4.9xQ2 2024: 4.6xQ3 2024: 4.5xQ4 2024: 4.8xQ1 2025: 4.9xQ2 2025: 5.2xQ3 2025: 5.2xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.3xQ3 2026: 5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.2xHigh
Q2 20265.3xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20255.2xHigh
Q2 20255.2xHigh
Q1 20254.9xHigh
Q4 20244.8xHigh

PNW's net debt is about 5.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

PNW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.5Neutral
Stochastic85.4Overbought

PNW's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

PNW PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricPNWSector medianRelative
PE20x20x1.2% below
PE %894445 pts above

PNW is trading at 20x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

PNW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$101.75.3% above
20 week MA$101.65.4% above
50 week MA$99.37.8% above
100 week MA$94.713% above
200 week MA$86.624% above

PNW is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 24% above its 200-week average.

PNW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$88.9$77.9-12%
2021$77.9$68.9-12%
2022$68.9$77.9+13%
2023$77.9$71.8-7.8%
2024$71.8$85.0+18%
2025$85.0$88.4+4.1%
2026 YTD$88.4$107.0+21%

PNW has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's up 21% so far in 2026.

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