PNTG

The Pennant Group, Inc.

69
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PNTG has the edge over UNH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

UNH

UnitedHealth Group Incorporated

62
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

UNH has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

PNTG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Stable

PNTG's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.

UNH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

UNH's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and profitability are stable.

PNTG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE111x221x332x442x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE111x221x332x442x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward24x$35.91—
Cheap35x$35.37-1.5%
Current36x$35.91—
Fair46x$45.65+27%
Expensive87x$86.68+141%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PNTG has the edge over UNH in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

UNH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$405—
Cheap19x$325-20%
Fair23x$410+1.2%
Current23x$405—
Expensive30x$526+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UNH's PE is in its fair range at 23x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PNTG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for PNTG, with profitability holding steady.

UNH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect UNH's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PNTG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$46.91
Downside-16%$30.27

Calculated from the latest close: $35.91 on Nov 12.

PNTG trails UNH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

UNH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+36%$550.65
Downside-15%$346.07

Calculated from the latest close: $405.13 on Nov 12.

UNH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PNTG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

PNTG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.44Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.76Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.75Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.86Q2 2026: $0.91Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $1.52
Q4 2023: $0.44Q1 2024: $0.54Q2 2024: $0.63Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.76Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.75Q4 2025: $0.84Q1 2026: $0.86Q2 2026: $0.91Q3 2026: $1.00Forward: $1.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.52+52%
Q3 2026$1.00+33%
Q2 2026$0.91+17%
Q1 2026$0.86+13%
Q4 2025$0.84+20%
Q3 2025$0.75+10%
Q2 2025$0.78+24%
Q1 2025$0.76+41%
Q4 2024$0.70+59%

PNTG has the edge over UNH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
Q4 2023: $23.86Q1 2024: $16.38Q2 2024: $15.10Q3 2024: $15.37Q4 2024: $15.51Q1 2025: $23.89Q2 2025: $23.09Q3 2025: $19.17Q4 2025: $13.23Q1 2026: $13.28Q2 2026: $15.58Q3 2026: $17.55Forward: $22.65
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.65+29%
Q3 2026$17.55-8.5%
Q2 2026$15.58-33%
Q1 2026$13.28-44%
Q4 2025$13.23-15%
Q3 2025$19.17+25%
Q2 2025$23.09+53%
Q1 2025$23.89+46%
Q4 2024$15.51-35%

UNH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.55 over the past year, against $23.89 in early 2025.

PNTG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $289MQ1 2026: $285MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $302M
Q4 2023: $146MQ1 2024: $157MQ2 2024: $169MQ3 2024: $181MQ4 2024: $189MQ1 2025: $210MQ2 2025: $220MQ3 2025: $229MQ4 2025: $289MQ1 2026: $285MQ2 2026: $298MQ3 2026: $302M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$302.3M+32%
Q2 2026$298M+36%
Q1 2026$285.4M+36%
Q4 2025$289.3M+53%
Q3 2025$229M+27%
Q2 2025$219.5M+30%
Q1 2025$209.8M+34%
Q4 2024$188.9M+29%

PNTG has the edge over UNH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UNH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
Q4 2023: $94.4BQ1 2024: $99.8BQ2 2024: $98.9BQ3 2024: $101BQ4 2024: $101BQ1 2025: $110BQ2 2025: $112BQ3 2025: $113BQ4 2025: $113BQ1 2026: $112BQ2 2026: $112BQ3 2026: $113B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$112.7B-0.4%
Q2 2026$112B+0.4%
Q1 2026$111.7B+2%
Q4 2025$113.2B+12%
Q3 2025$113.2B+12%
Q2 2025$111.6B+13%
Q1 2025$109.6B+9.8%
Q4 2024$100.8B+6.8%

UNH's revenue has held roughly level: $113B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PNTG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $10M
Q4 2023: $3MQ1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $7MQ4 2024: $17MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $32MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$9MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$10.1M-3.2%
Q2 2026$15.5M-51%
Q1 2026-$8.7M+$14.5M
Q4 2025$17.4M+0.9%
Q3 2025$10.5M+54%
Q2 2025$31.6M+256%
Q1 2025-$23.2M-$20.6M
Q4 2024$17.2M+511%

PNTG generated $34M in free cash flow over the past year, down 4.9% from the year before.

UNH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: −$6.2BQ1 2024: $401MQ2 2024: $5.9BQ3 2024: $13BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $6.3BQ3 2025: $5.1BQ4 2025: $160MQ1 2026: $8.1BQ2 2026: $10.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B-16%
Q2 2026$10.3B+63%
Q1 2026$8.1B+79%
Q4 2025$160M-89%
Q3 2025$5.1B-61%
Q2 2025$6.3B+6.9%
Q1 2025$4.6B+1037%
Q4 2024$1.5B+$7.6B

UNH still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2022 peak: $22.8B over the past year.

PNTG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 31MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 35MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 35MQ4 2025: 35MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 36M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.2%+427K shares
1 year+3.2%+1.1M shares
3 years+20%+6.2M shares
5 years+19%+5.8M shares
Available history+23%+6.8M shares

PNTG has 36M diluted shares, up 3.2% from a year ago.

UNH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
Q4 2023: 938MQ1 2024: 922MQ2 2024: 928MQ3 2024: 930MQ4 2024: 929MQ1 2025: 918MQ2 2025: 910MQ3 2025: 908MQ4 2025: 911MQ1 2026: 910MQ2 2026: 906MQ3 2026: 902M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-4M shares
1 year-0.7%-6M shares
3 years-3.6%-34M shares
5 years-5.5%-53M shares
Available history-6.6%-64M shares

UNH has the edge over PNTG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PNTG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 0.4xQ3 2025: 0.5xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.5xQ3 2026: 2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.2xModerate
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20250.5xVery low
Q2 20250.4xVery low
Q1 20251.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

PNTG's net debt is about 2.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

UNH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.4xQ1 2025: 1.3xQ2 2025: 1.5xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 2.3xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.7xQ3 2026: 1.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.7xHealthy
Q2 20261.7xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.3xModerate
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.5xHealthy
Q1 20251.3xHealthy
Q4 20241.4xHealthy

UNH has the edge over PNTG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PNTG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic27.8Neutral

PNTG's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

UNH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.4Neutral
Stochastic60.0Neutral

UNH's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

PNTG PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricPNTGSector medianRelative
PE36x26x39% above
PE %182911 pts below

PNTG is trading at 36x earnings, a 39% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UNH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUNHSector medianRelative
PE23x26x11% below
PE %472918 pts above

UNH has the edge over PNTG on valuation relative to its sector.

PNTG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$39.79.5% below
20 week MA$39.69.2% below
50 week MA$34.73.6% above
100 week MA$30.219% above
200 week MA$24.546% above

PNTG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 46% above its 200-week average.

UNH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$394.22.8% above
20 week MA$400.51.2% above
50 week MA$361.212% above
100 week MA$376.07.8% above
200 week MA$446.69.3% below

UNH has the edge over PNTG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

PNTG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.2$61.0+90%
2021$61.0$21.9-64%
2022$21.9$9.95-55%
2023$9.95$13.9+40%
2024$13.9$26.6+91%
2025$26.6$29.1+9.1%
2026 YTD$29.1$35.9+24%

PNTG has the edge over UNH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UNH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$296.0$340.8+15%
2021$340.8$495.4+45%
2022$495.4$531.3+7.3%
2023$531.3$526.5-0.9%
2024$526.5$510.0-3.1%
2025$510.0$331.8-35%
2026 YTD$331.8$405.1+22%

UNH has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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