PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over TTD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

TTD

The Trade Desk, Inc.

59
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation92/ 100
Upside potential45/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TTD offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

TTD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

TTD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over TTD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TTD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE298x596x894x1192x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE298x596x894x1192x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current22x$15.47—
Forward43x$15.47—
Cheap59x$40.54+162%
Fair171x$118+661%
Expensive276x$190+1130%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TTD's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. Analysts expect earnings to fall, which would put today's price at 43x next year's earnings.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

PLTR has the edge over TTD on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

TTD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Strong decline
Decline
Strongly weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TTD's earnings and revenue to decline, with profitability weakening. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TTD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TTD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$20.16
Downside-37%$9.78

Calculated from the latest close: $15.47 on Nov 12.

TTD trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over TTD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.36
Q4 2023: $0.36Q1 2024: $0.40Q2 2024: $0.50Q3 2024: $0.61Q4 2024: $0.78Q1 2025: $0.82Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.90Q1 2026: $0.88Q2 2026: $0.84Q3 2026: $0.69Forward: $0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.36-47%
Q3 2026$0.69-21%
Q2 2026$0.84+1.2%
Q1 2026$0.88+7.3%
Q4 2025$0.90+15%
Q3 2025$0.87+43%
Q2 2025$0.83+66%
Q1 2025$0.82+105%
Q4 2024$0.78+117%

TTD earned $0.69 per share over the past year, down 21% from the year before.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over TTD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $606MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $585MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $616MQ2 2025: $694MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $689MQ2 2026: $715MQ3 2026: $736M
Q4 2023: $606MQ1 2024: $491MQ2 2024: $585MQ3 2024: $628MQ4 2024: $741MQ1 2025: $616MQ2 2025: $694MQ3 2025: $739MQ4 2025: $847MQ1 2026: $689MQ2 2026: $715MQ3 2026: $736M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$736M-0.5%
Q2 2026$715.1M+3%
Q1 2026$688.9M+12%
Q4 2025$846.8M+14%
Q3 2025$739.4M+18%
Q2 2025$694M+19%
Q1 2025$616M+25%
Q4 2024$741M+22%

TTD's revenue is growing: $736M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over TTD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TTD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $178MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $157M
Q4 2023: $66MQ1 2024: $178MQ2 2024: $59MQ3 2024: $225MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $232MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $158MQ4 2025: $285MQ1 2026: $279MQ2 2026: $140MQ3 2026: $157M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$157.5M-0.5%
Q2 2026$140.4M+17%
Q1 2026$279.1M+20%
Q4 2025$285.3M+59%
Q3 2025$158.4M-30%
Q2 2025$119.8M+103%
Q1 2025$232.3M+30%
Q4 2024$179.2M+172%

TTD generated $862M in free cash flow over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has 2.6B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

TTD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 500MQ1 2024: 498MQ2 2024: 500MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 503MQ2 2025: 496MQ3 2025: 493MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 477MQ2 2026: 470MQ3 2026: 470M
Q4 2023: 500MQ1 2024: 498MQ2 2024: 500MQ3 2024: 503MQ4 2024: 502MQ1 2025: 503MQ2 2025: 496MQ3 2025: 493MQ4 2025: 494MQ1 2026: 477MQ2 2026: 470MQ3 2026: 470M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+249K shares
1 year-4.6%-22.8M shares
3 years-6.3%-31.7M shares
5 years-5.8%-28.7M shares
Available history-1.6%-7.9M shares

TTD has the edge over PLTR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

TTD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -3.2xQ1 2024: -2.7xQ2 2024: -2.6xQ3 2024: -2.7xQ4 2024: -2.7xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.0xQ4 2025: -0.9xQ1 2026: -1.2xQ2 2026: -1.6xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.7xNet Cash

TTD has the edge over PLTR on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

TTD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.8Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

TTD's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

TTD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTTDSector medianRelative
PE22x28x20% below
PE %73528 pts below

TTD has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over TTD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TTD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.821% above
20 week MA$14.65.8% above
50 week MA$22.130% below
100 week MA$45.866% below
200 week MA$64.576% below

TTD has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8- and 20-week averages, but 76% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over TTD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TTD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.2$93.2+242%
2021$93.2$96.1+3.1%
2022$96.1$44.9-53%
2023$44.9$72.0+60%
2024$72.0$121.4+69%
2025$121.4$38.3-68%
2026 YTD$38.3$15.5-60%

TTD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +242% in 2020 to −68% in 2025. It's down 60% so far in 2026.

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