PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over SMTC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

SMTC

Semtech Corporation

72
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation49/ 100
Upside potential80/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

SMTC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

SMTC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SMTC's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR has the edge over SMTC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SMTC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x68x102x136x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE34x68x102x136x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward20x$119—
Cheap23x$34.23-71%
Fair65x$96.99-19%
Current80x$119—
Expensive104x$155+30%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SMTC's PE is in its fair range at 80x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 20x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

SMTC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMTC, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SMTC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SMTC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+100%$238.45
Downside-25%$89.50

Calculated from the latest close: $119.44 on Nov 12.

SMTC trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over SMTC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SMTC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.83Q1 2024: $-17.03Q2 2024: $-16.93Q3 2024: $-13.57Q4 2024: $-13.07Q1 2025: $-2.26Q2 2025: $-1.68Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $1.49Forward: $6.04
Q4 2023: $-7.83Q1 2024: $-17.03Q2 2024: $-16.93Q3 2024: $-13.57Q4 2024: $-13.07Q1 2025: $-2.26Q2 2025: $-1.68Q3 2025: $0.62Q4 2025: $0.69Q1 2026: $-0.46Q2 2026: $-0.41Q3 2026: $1.49Forward: $6.04
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.04+306%
Q3 2026$1.49+140%
Q2 2026-$0.41+$1.27
Q1 2026-$0.46+$1.80
Q4 2025$0.69+$13.76
Q3 2025$0.62+$14.19
Q2 2025-$1.68+$15.25
Q1 2025-$2.26+$14.77
Q4 2024-$13.07-$5.24

SMTC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.49 over the past year, against $2.46 in mid-2022.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over SMTC on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

SMTC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $342M
Q4 2023: $201MQ1 2024: $193MQ2 2024: $206MQ3 2024: $215MQ4 2024: $237MQ1 2025: $251MQ2 2025: $251MQ3 2025: $258MQ4 2025: $267MQ1 2026: $274MQ2 2026: $291MQ3 2026: $342M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$341.9M+33%
Q2 2026$291M+16%
Q1 2026$274.4M+9.3%
Q4 2025$267M+13%
Q3 2025$257.6M+20%
Q2 2025$251.1M+22%
Q1 2025$251M+30%
Q4 2024$236.8M+18%

SMTC's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $342M last quarter, up 33% from the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR generated $4.1B in free cash flow over the past year, up 126% from the year before.

SMTC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $61M
Q4 2023: −$12MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: −$1MQ3 2024: −$8MQ4 2024: $29MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $26MQ3 2025: $42MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $28MQ3 2026: $61M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$61.4M+48%
Q2 2026$28M+7%
Q1 2026$59.1M+91%
Q4 2025$44.6M+53%
Q3 2025$41.5M+$49.9M
Q2 2025$26.2M+$27.6M
Q1 2025$30.9M+153%
Q4 2024$29.1M+$41.5M

SMTC generated $193M in free cash flow over the past year, up 51% from the year before.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over SMTC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMTC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 101M
Q4 2023: 64MQ1 2024: 64MQ2 2024: 65MQ3 2024: 65MQ4 2024: 75MQ1 2025: 72MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 87MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 88MQ2 2026: 98MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.9%+2.8M shares
1 year+16%+14.1M shares
3 years+58%+36.8M shares
5 years+54%+35.3M shares
Available history+50%+33.5M shares

SMTC has 101M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

SMTC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2020-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2020-1.0xNet Cash
Q4 2019-0.7xNet Cash

SMTC has more cash than debt.

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

SMTC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic20.9Neutral

SMTC's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SMTC PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSMTCSector medianRelative
PE80x28x188% above
PE %653530 pts above

SMTC has the edge over PLTR on valuation relative to its sector.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over SMTC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMTC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$147.919% below
20 week MA$142.916% below
50 week MA$118.01.2% above
100 week MA$84.741% above
200 week MA$57.2109% above

SMTC has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 109% above its 200-week average.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +361% in 2024 to −67% in 2022. It's down 9.1% so far in 2026.

SMTC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$52.1$71.7+38%
2021$71.7$86.9+21%
2022$86.9$27.5-68%
2023$27.5$21.9-20%
2024$21.9$63.3+189%
2025$63.3$76.1+20%
2026 YTD$76.1$119.4+57%

SMTC has the edge over PLTR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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